Nashville Predators vs. Dallas StarsDec 12, 2024

FinalThursday, Dec 12, 2024· American Airlines Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	3	1	4		NSH	8	12	6	26
DAL	0	0	1	1		DAL	5	16	15	36

: NSH 48DAL 64
: NSH 4.37DAL 2.58
PP goals: NSH 0DAL 0
Hits: NSH 20DAL 18
Blocks: NSH 18DAL 9
PIM: NSH 4DAL 4
: NSH 39%DAL 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Dallas Stars 4–1

Nashville Predators beat Dallas Stars 4–1 at DAL. Ryan O'Reilly (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Justus Annunen (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 35 (.972), +12 against a season average of 23.9; the win.

Points
Ryan O'Reilly had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 16:10.O'Reilly
Points
Jonathan Marchessault had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:23.Marchessault
Goalie
Justus Annunen (NSH) faced 36 shots and stopped 35 (.972), +12 against a season average of 23.9; the win.Annunen
New line
New look for NSH: Nyquist–O'Reilly–L'Heureux skated 6:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (61.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nyquist O'Reilly L'Heureux
Usage
Adam Wilsby (NSH) played 22:02, +4:07 up on his 17:55 season average over 22 games.Wilsby
Luck
DAL scored 1 goal on 2.57 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Esa Lindell (DAL) played 17:40, −4:34 down on his 22:14 season average over 79 games.Lindell
Usage
Michael McCarron (NSH) played 10:44, −3:04 down on his 13:48 season average over 73 games.McCarron

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DAL attacks right (top on phones) →

DAL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · DAL 64 · NSH 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DAL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DAL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 32% of the game, DAL 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DAL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DAL
	52	70
	2.85	2.52
	2.67	2.46
	13	12
	0	1
	18	14
	−0.082	+0.082
	32%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Stamkos – Marchessault – Forsberg
12:2842% CF
L2Jankowski – Novak – Evangelista
9:1850% CF
L3Nyquist – O'Reilly – L'Heureux
6:4161% CF
L4Sissons – McCarron – Smith
6:2414% CF
D1Gravel – Wilsby
19:0244% CF
D2Skjei – Blankenburg
15:2638% CF
D3Schenn – Del Gaizo
13:5550% CF

PP1Stamkos – O'Reilly – Marchessault – Skjei – Forsberg
0:53
PP2Nyquist – Novak – Del Gaizo – Evangelista – L'Heureux
0:43
PK1FMcCarron – Smith
0:47
PK2FJankowski – Sissons
0:22
PK1DSkjei – Blankenburg
1:44
PK2DSchenn – Wilsby
0:11

Current NSH line combinations →

Dallas Stars

L1Duchene – Marchment – Stankoven
8:4750% CF
L2Blackwell – Bäck – Bourque
8:0456% CF
L3Hintz – Robertson – Johnston
7:5432% CF
L4Benn – Dadonov – Steel
6:5992% CF
D1Heiskanen – Harley
19:5755% CF
D2Lindell – Lundkvist
10:4457% CF
D3Lyubushkin – Bichsel
8:2750% CF

PP1Benn – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen – Johnston
1:45100% CF
PK1FBenn – Bäck
0:26
PK2FBlackwell – Steel
0:25
PK1DLindell – Lyubushkin
0:51
PK2DHeiskanen – Harley
0:46

Current DAL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

11:40
NSHRyan O'Reilly (Jonathan Marchessault, Adam Wilsby)wrist0.13 xG
NSH: O'Reilly, Marchessault, Del Gaizo, WilsbyDAL: Lindell, Robertson, Lundkvist, Stankoven
NSH 1 – 0 DAL
13:33
NSHTommy Novak (Jonathan Marchessault, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.25 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Gravel, Marchessault, Novak, WilsbyDAL: Benn, Dadonov, Heiskanen, Harley, Bourque
NSH 2 – 0 DAL
14:39
NSHRyan O'Reilly (Kevin Gravel)tip-in0.05 xG
NSH: Nyquist, O'Reilly, Gravel, Wilsby, L'HeureuxDAL: Blackwell, Lindell, Bäck, Lundkvist, Bourque
NSH 3 – 0 DAL

3rd period

10:34
DALLian Bichsel (Sam Steel, Jamie Benn)snap0.03 xG
NSH: Schenn, Jankowski, Novak, Del Gaizo, EvangelistaDAL: Benn, Steel, Lyubushkin, Johnston, Bichsel
NSH 3 – 1 DAL
16:47
NSHZachary L'HeureuxEN (Ryan O'Reilly, Gustav Nyquist)snap0.98 xG
NSH: Nyquist, O'Reilly, Gravel, Wilsby, L'HeureuxDAL: Duchene, Marchment, Steel, Robertson, Stankoven, Johnston
NSH 4 – 1 DAL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.46	1	0	0	18:23	—	—	43	56
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	2	2	17:40	—	—	38	50
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.24	0	4	2	16:28	—	—	43	56
Luke Evangelista R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	0	14:53	—	—	50	64
Mark Jankowski L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	0	1	0	13:35	—	—	41	59
Tommy Novak C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.45	1	0	0	13:27	—	—	63	74
Ryan O'Reilly C	L3	2	1	3	+3	3	0.24	1	1	0	16:10	—	—	48	56
Gustav Nyquist R	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.14	1	0	0	14:56	—	—	52	55
Zachary L'Heureux L	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	1.19	3	0	0	13:04	—	—	64	52
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	15:02	—	—	20	29
Cole Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	0	0	13:39	—	—	22	22
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	10:44	—	—	18	31
Adam Wilsby D	D1	0	1	1	+4	2	0.18	0	1	0	22:02	—	—	43	54
Kevin Gravel D	D1	0	1	1	+3	0	0.02	1	1	0	20:00	—	—	42	52
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	22:36	—	—	33	32
Nick Blankenburg D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.58	0	1	0	18:58	—	—	40	32
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.29	1	3	0	17:24	—	—	47	64
Marc Del Gaizo D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.18	3	0	0	16:59	—	—	47	65

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Justus Annunen(start)	W	36	35	1	.972	2.58	60:00

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mason Marchment L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.31	0	0	0	17:40	—	—	65	69
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.23	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	61	68
Logan Stankoven C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.05	1	1	0	15:08	—	—	61	62
Oskar Bäck C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:32	—	—	44	18
Colin Blackwell C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:56	—	—	42	5
Mavrik Bourque C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	1	0	0	10:49	—	—	47	24
Wyatt Johnston C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.70	0	2	0	18:25	—	—	44	44
Jason Robertson L	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.27	1	0	0	17:12	—	—	45	31
Roope Hintz C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	1	0	16:41	—	—	43	28
Sam Steel C	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	1	0	2	15:46	—	—	70	57
Evgenii Dadonov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	82	56
Jamie Benn L	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	14:14	—	—	77	57
Miro Heiskanen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.10	0	1	0	26:24	—	—	50	24
Thomas Harley D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	2	0	24:10	—	—	56	35
Nils Lundkvist D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.10	0	0	0	17:56	—	—	65	61
Esa Lindell D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.08	2	1	0	17:40	—	—	59	52
Lian Bichsel D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	5	0	2	15:46	—	—	70	86
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:29	—	—	44	73

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Oettinger(start)	L	25	22	3	.880	2.81	59:10

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Ryan O'Reilly (NSH) 2nd 11:40 · assists Jonathan Marchessault, Adam Wilsby · Odd-man rush · passed in · 3-on-1 at the blue line · 11.6 mph shot · 2.9 s from entry to goal.

Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 11:40 · NSH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 11.6 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Entry to goal: 2.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tommy Novak · 2nd 13:33 · NSH

Play: cycle
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 22.0 mph
Distance: 2 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 14:39 · NSH

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 2
Shot: 34.4 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Entry to goal: 7.2 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Lian Bichsel · 3rd 10:34 · DAL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 1
Shot: 73.9 mph
Distance: 41 ft
Entry to goal: 1.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Zachary L'Heureux · 3rd 16:47 · NSH EN

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 38.0 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 7.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.