Buffalo Sabres vs. Vegas Golden KnightsOct 16, 2018

FinalTuesday, Oct 16, 2018· T-Mobile Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	1	1		BUF	5	11	11	27
VGK	1	1	2	4		VGK	12	11	6	29

: BUF 51VGK 58
: BUF 2.96VGK 3.81
PP goals: BUF 0VGK 1
Hits: BUF 28VGK 33
Blocks: BUF 23VGK 18
PIM: BUF 4VGK 12
: BUF 48%VGK 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vegas Golden Knights beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

Vegas Golden Knights beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1 at home. William Karlsson (VGK) led the scoring with 1G 2A. VGK's first power-play unit (Pacioretty, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault and Hunt) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:23 together.

Points
William Karlsson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:38.Karlsson
Points
Jonathan Marchessault had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:55.Marchessault
Points
Reilly Smith had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:44.Smith
PP1
VGK's first power-play unit (Pacioretty, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault and Hunt) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:23 together.Pacioretty Smith Karlsson Marchessault Hunt
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 2.96 expected goals (51 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 17:56, +4:12 up on his 13:44 season average over 77 games.Okposo
Usage
Jake McCabe (BUF) played 15:52, −3:08 down on his 19:00 season average over 58 games.McCabe
Usage
Zach Bogosian (BUF) played 16:09, −5:34 down on his 21:43 season average over 64 games.Bogosian

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)VGK attacks right (top on phones) →

VGK
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · VGK 58 · BUF 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

VGK
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

VGK pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 35% of the game, VGK 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

VGK

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	VGK
	38	50
	1.68	2.73
	1.65	2.68
	8	10
	6	5
	14	25
	−0.007	+0.006
	35%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sheary – Reinhart – Eichel
10:3043% CF
L2Okposo – Skinner – Mittelstadt
8:2053% CF
L3Sobotka – Berglund – Thompson
7:0318% CF
L4Pominville – Girgensons – Rodrigues
5:5146% CF
D1Bogosian – Beaulieu
12:3839% CF
D2Scandella – Ristolainen
11:5940% CF
D3McCabe – Dahlin
10:1146% CF

PP1Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Reinhart – Eichel
4:4183% CF
PP2Skinner – Rodrigues – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
3:10100% CF
PK1FSobotka – Eichel
1:53
PK2FGirgensons – Rodrigues
1:13
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
1:38
PK2DBogosian – Scandella
1:01

Current BUF line combinations →

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
12:1674% CF
L2Pacioretty – Haula – Hyka
6:5860% CF
L3Reaves – Carrier – Bellemare
6:4361% CF
L4Eakin – Carpenter – Nosek
6:3170% CF
D1McNabb – Miller
12:2556% CF
D2Holden – Theodore
11:2137% CF
D3Merrill – Hunt
8:51100% CF

PP1Pacioretty – Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault – Hunt
3:2380% CF
PP2Eakin – Haula – Miller – Hyka – Theodore
1:05100% CF
PK1FEakin – Carpenter
4:04
PK2FBellemare – Nosek
3:27
PK1DMcNabb – Miller
5:23
PK2DHolden – Merrill
3:05

Current VGK line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.14	0	0	0	21:53	—	—	44	31
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	4	0	19:53	—	—	44	31
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:35	—	—	44	31
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.18	1	1	0	17:56	—	—	55	47
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.41	0	1	2	17:54	—	—	57	50
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.62	2	0	0	17:50	—	—	57	50
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.11	3	1	0	15:49	—	—	19	12
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.87	1	1	0	15:45	—	—	31	27
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	1	0	9:37	—	—	25	17
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	2	0	12:53	—	—	50	51
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	4	1	0	12:24	—	—	39	35
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	9:19	—	—	39	35
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	4	0	16:09	—	—	40	60
Nathan Beaulieu D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	15:58	—	—	42	64
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.00	2	2	0	24:29	—	—	35	11
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	2	2	18:24	—	—	46	65
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	3	1	0	19:06	—	—	45	29
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	2	1	0	15:52	—	—	49	36

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	2.98	55:35

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	2	0	2	+2	6	1.38	0	1	2	19:55	—	—	69	86
Reilly Smith R	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.76	0	1	0	19:44	—	—	63	75
William Karlsson C	L1	1	2	3	+2	3	0.22	1	2	0	19:38	—	—	71	86
Max Pacioretty L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	0	13:24	—	—	50	33
Erik Haula L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	2	12:34	—	—	47	26
Tomas Hyka R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	2	10:22	—	—	58	43
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	12:56	—	—	55	78
William Carrier L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	3	1	0	9:36	—	—	48	62
Ryan Reaves R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.46	5	1	0	9:21	—	—	52	78
Cody Eakin C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	2	0	0	17:51	—	—	44	7
Ryan Carpenter C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	0	0	13:23	—	—	54	11
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:24	—	—	70	28
Colin Miller D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	2	23:32	—	—	50	65
Brayden McNabb D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	4	2	22:42	—	—	57	56
Nick Holden D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	3	2	20:39	—	—	35	17
Shea Theodore D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.05	0	3	0	19:47	—	—	48	64
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	2	0	0	16:05	—	—	88	88
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	88	77

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.96	59:59

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Vegas Golden KnightsOct 16, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Vegas Golden Knights beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Vegas Golden Knights

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Vegas Golden Knights