Buffalo Sabres vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 19, 2026

FinalMonday, Jan 19, 2026· Lenovo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	3	8	7	18
CAR	1	0	1	2		CAR	12	8	9	29

: BUF 36CAR 52
: BUF 2.20CAR 3.29
PP goals: BUF 0CAR 1
Hits: BUF 25CAR 23
Blocks: BUF 12CAR 6
PIM: BUF 8CAR 6
: BUF 46%CAR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at home. Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Eric Robinson (CAR) played 2:02, −9:32 down on his 11:34 season average over 66 games.

Points
Andrei Svechnikov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:17.Svechnikov
Points
Sebastian Aho had 2 assists (2 points) in 19:38.Aho
Usage
Eric Robinson (CAR) played 2:02, −9:32 down on his 11:34 season average over 66 games.Robinson
New line
New look for BUF: Doan–Ostlund–Helenius skated 6:18 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (12.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Doan Ostlund Helenius
Usage
Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) played 27:33, +4:47 up on his 22:46 season average over 77 games.Samuelsson
Usage
Jordan Staal (CAR) played 19:44, +3:36 up on his 16:08 season average over 74 games.Staal
Usage
Tage Thompson (BUF) played 22:47, +3:35 up on his 19:12 season average over 80 games.Thompson
Luck
Jordan Staal (CAR) generated 0.99 xG on 4 attempts without scoring; the chances were there.Staal

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 88 of 88 attempts · CAR 52 · BUF 36

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 32% of the game, CAR 45%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

CAR skaters (rows) against BUF skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the CAR side.

Matchup matrix

CAR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	CAR
	35	53
	1.92	2.83
	1.88	2.70
	10	11
	1	5
	24	25
	−0.042	+0.042
	32%	45%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Zucker – McLeod – Quinn
9:1529% CF
L2Tuch – Thompson – Benson
8:4755% CF
L3Malenstyn – Krebs – Kozak
8:0513% CF
L4Doan – Ostlund – Helenius
6:1813% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
14:3924% CF
D2Byram – Power
12:0850% CF
D3Bryson – Metsa
6:1814% CF

PP1Zucker – Thompson – Dahlin – Doan – Ostlund
1:16100% CF
PP2Tuch – McLeod – Byram – Quinn – Benson
0:44
PK1FTuch – Benson
1:21
PK2FMalenstyn – McLeod
0:23
PK1DSamuelsson – Byram
1:28

Current BUF line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
12:2270% CF
L2Staal – Martinook – Ehlers
11:5657% CF
L3Hall – Stankoven – Blake
10:2447% CF
D1Walker – Miller
17:3461% CF
D2Slavin – Chatfield
16:2758% CF
D3Nikishin – Nystrom
12:2767% CF

PP1Ehlers – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis – Nikishin
2:0050% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
1:12
PK2FAho – Jarvis
0:46
PK1DSlavin – Chatfield
1:28
PK2DWalker – Miller
0:30

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:33
BUFRasmus Dahlin (Jack Quinn, Jason Zucker)snap0.08 xG
BUF: Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, QuinnCAR: Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis
BUF 1 – 0 CAR
7:04
CARAndrei Svechnikov (Sebastian Aho, Sean Walker)tip-in0.12 xG
BUF: Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, QuinnCAR: Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis
BUF 1 – 1 CAR

3rd period

2:10
CARSeth JarvisPP (Andrei Svechnikov, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.13 xG
BUF: Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, ByramCAR: Staal, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin
BUF 1 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	1	1	0	0.15	2	0	0	14:59	—	—	35	47
Ryan McLeod C	L1	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	2	14:44	—	—	39	46
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	1	1	0	0.04	1	0	0	14:31	—	—	33	43
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	6	0.71	1	2	0	22:47	—	—	43	41
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	19:55	—	—	46	38
Zach Benson L	L2	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	1	0	17:07	—	—	63	70
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	11:04	—	—	25	2
Tyson Kozak C	L3	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	10:28	—	—	11	0
Beck Malenstyn L	L3	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	10:23	—	—	18	3
Josh Doan R	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:30	—	—	26	23
Noah Ostlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	50	47
Konsta Helenius C	L4	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	10:47	—	—	56	52
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	1	0.28	1	1	0	27:33	—	—	41	31
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	1	0	1	3	0.24	3	1	4	25:03	—	—	38	34
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	25:01	—	—	47	41
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	1	2	22:07	—	—	59	70
Zach Metsa D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:41	—	—	13	13
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	8:00	—	—	17	24

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	2.87	57:50

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Seth Jarvis R	L1	1	0	1	6	0.49	5	0	0	21:43	—	—	67	58
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	2	2	0	0.10	1	0	0	19:38	—	—	71	60
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	1	1	2	1	0.13	4	0	6	17:17	—	—	74	63
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	3	0.98	3	0	0	19:44	—	—	57	67
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	1	0	18:35	—	—	56	65
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	1	0.23	1	0	0	16:49	—	—	59	68
Jackson Blake R	L3	0	0	0	2	0.49	0	1	0	16:05	—	—	52	52
Taylor Hall L	L3	0	0	0	3	0.20	2	0	0	12:53	—	—	50	35
Logan Stankoven C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	12:37	—	—	55	60
K'Andre Miller D	D1	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	21:57	—	—	63	45
Sean Walker D	D1	0	1	1	1	0.03	1	1	0	19:16	—	—	61	40
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	22:53	—	—	56	63
Jalen Chatfield D	D2	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	1	0	22:50	—	—	56	62
Alexander Nikishin D	D3	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	1	0	17:48	—	—	65	71
Joel Nystrom D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	13:08	—	—	65	76
Mark Jankowski L	—	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	9:45	—	—	56	38
William Carrier L	—	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	9:36	—	—	64	68
Eric Robinson L	—	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	2:02	—	—	100	100

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brandon Bussi(start)	W	18	17	1	.944	2.20	59:24

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) 1st 1:33 · assists Jack Quinn, Jason Zucker · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 67.9 mph shot · 1.9 s from entry to goal.

Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 1:33 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 2
Shot: 67.9 mph
Distance: 38 ft
Entry to goal: 1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 7:04 · CAR

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 17.4 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 4.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 3rd 2:10 · CAR PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 27.2 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.