Buffalo Sabres vs. Winnipeg JetsNov 16, 2018

Final / SOFriday, Nov 16, 2018· Bell MTS Place

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	0	1	0	1	2		BUF	4	16	10	2	32
WPG	0	1	0	0	0	1		WPG	12	8	5	1	26

: BUF 53WPG 53
: BUF 2.34WPG 2.50
PP goals: BUF 1WPG 0
Hits: BUF 17WPG 21
Blocks: BUF 14WPG 12
PIM: BUF 2WPG 6
: BUF 41%WPG 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Winnipeg Jets 2–1 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Winnipeg Jets 2–1 in a shootout at WPG. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Berglund, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 2:51 together.

PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Berglund, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 2:51 together.Berglund Skinner Reinhart Eichel Dahlin
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Sobotka–Berglund skated 10:58 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (23.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Sobotka Berglund
New line
New look for WPG: Perreault–Petan–Roslovic skated 7:13 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perreault Petan Roslovic
Usage
Jacob Trouba (WPG) played 17:57, −4:59 down on his 22:56 season average over 81 games.Trouba
Usage
Mathieu Perreault (WPG) played 8:46, −3:30 down on his 12:16 season average over 81 games.Perreault
Usage
Patrik Berglund (BUF) played 16:34, +3:41 up on his 12:53 season average over 22 games.Berglund

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · WPG 53 · BUF 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 26% of the game, WPG 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	WPG
	42	62
	1.62	2.77
	1.58	2.63
	2	7
	1	0
	13	22
	−0.070	+0.070
	26%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
13:3842% CF
L2Okposo – Sheary – Mittelstadt
10:5839% CF
L3Pominville – Sobotka – Berglund
10:5823% CF
L4Larsson – Girgensons – Thompson
10:3750% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
16:4229% CF
D2Bogosian – Dahlin
9:0458% CF
D3Scandella – Beaulieu
6:5753% CF

PP1Berglund – Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
2:51100% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt
1:03
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
0:47
PK1DBogosian – Scandella
0:47

Current BUF line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Scheifele – Ehlers
14:2159% CF
L2Little – Connor – Laine
13:5957% CF
L3Lowry – Copp – Tanev
11:3843% CF
L4Perreault – Petan – Roslovic
7:1375% CF
D1Byfuglien – Chiarot
18:4958% CF
D2Trouba – Morrissey
14:5153% CF
D3Myers – Morrow
14:2860% CF

PP1Byfuglien – Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Laine
0:44
PK1FLowry – Tanev
1:25
PK2FWheeler – Scheifele
1:23
PK1DTrouba – Morrissey
2:03
PK2DByfuglien – Chiarot
1:03

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

7:10
WPGKyle Connor (Patrik Laine, Bryan Little)wrist0.06 xG
BUF: Scandella, Larsson, Beaulieu, Girgensons, ThompsonWPG: Little, Myers, Morrow, Connor, Laine
BUF 0 – 1 WPG

3rd period

0:53
BUFJeff SkinnerPP (Jack Eichel, Rasmus Dahlin)backhand0.07 xG
BUF: Berglund, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, DahlinWPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Trouba, Morrissey
BUF 1 – 1 WPG

Decided in the shootout: BUF 2 – 1 WPG.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	0	1	0	20:58	—	—	46	49
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.70	1	0	0	20:24	—	—	48	52
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.66	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	46	52
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:59	—	—	38	40
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	42	42
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	13:58	—	—	39	41
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	2	16:34	—	—	24	5
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	24	6
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:45	—	—	21	7
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	2	2	0	15:21	—	—	45	30
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	1	0	0	13:06	—	—	45	30
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	0	0	12:36	—	—	48	33
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	26:31	—	—	33	33
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	18:26	—	—	36	35
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	2	1	0	22:57	—	—	33	38
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	2	0	20:17	—	—	58	69
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	2	0	0	16:38	—	—	50	37
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	3	0	16:17	—	—	29	20

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.50	64:56

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	1	0	22:10	—	—	62	60
Blake Wheeler R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	2	1	0	21:19	—	—	62	59
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	1	0	2	16:35	—	—	59	59
Kyle Connor L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.32	0	0	0	19:38	—	—	61	70
Patrik Laine L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.27	3	1	0	19:36	—	—	60	70
Bryan Little C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:48	—	—	60	70
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	15:07	—	—	47	27
Brandon Tanev L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	0	2	14:26	—	—	43	24
Andrew Copp C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:59	—	—	43	24
Mathieu Perreault C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.56	0	0	0	8:46	—	—	71	92
Nic Petan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:40	—	—	77	93
Jack Roslovic C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:50	—	—	69	91
Dustin Byfuglien D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	2	2	0	25:12	—	—	61	64
Ben Chiarot D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	0	0	21:02	—	—	56	63
Josh Morrissey D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	1	0	22:07	—	—	56	58
Jacob Trouba D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	2	2	17:57	—	—	60	61
Tyler Myers D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	2	0	21:14	—	—	68	69
Joe Morrow D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	1	0	16:22	—	—	58	65

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Laurent Brossoit(start)	O	32	31	1	.969	2.34	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.