Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 25, 2025

Final / OTSaturday, Oct 25, 2025· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	1	1	1	0	3		BUF	12	6	7	1	26
TOR	1	1	1	1	4		TOR	6	11	5	1	23

: BUF 56TOR 51
: BUF 2.37TOR 2.08
PP goals: BUF 1TOR 0
Hits: BUF 20TOR 25
Blocks: BUF 15TOR 18
PIM: BUF 21TOR 13
: BUF 33%TOR 67%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 in overtime at home. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan and Benson) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 4:12 together.

Points
Tage Thompson had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:35.Thompson
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:23.Tavares
Points
Matthew Knies had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:26.Knies
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan and Benson) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 4:12 together.Zucker Thompson Dahlin Doan Benson
New line
New look for TOR: Matthews–Robertson–McMann skated 11:54 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Matthews Robertson McMann
New line
New look for BUF: Malenstyn–Krebs–Dunne skated 10:13 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (56.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Malenstyn Krebs Dunne
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 2.08 expected goals (51 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Bowen Byram (BUF) played 18:21, −4:02 down on his 22:23 season average over 81 games.Byram

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · TOR 51 · BUF 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 31% of the game, TOR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

TOR skaters (rows) against BUF skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the TOR side.

Matchup matrix

TOR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	48	47
	1.32	1.26
	1.31	1.21
	11	7
	5	5
	14	17
	−0.113	+0.113
	31%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Thompson – Kulich – Benson
10:4571% CF
L2Malenstyn – Krebs – Dunne
10:1356% CF
L3Tuch – McLeod – Doan
6:4643% CF
L4Zucker – Quinn – Ostlund
6:1440% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
8:3640% CF
D2Timmins – Power
8:0556% CF
D3Byram – Metsa
2:1217% CF

PP1Zucker – Thompson – Dahlin – Doan – Benson
4:1285% CF
PP2Tuch – Byram – Quinn – Power – Kulich
2:06100% CF
PK1FMcLeod – Quinn
1:29
PK2FMalenstyn – Benson
1:08
PK1DTimmins – Samuelsson
1:17
PK2DDahlin – Power
0:53

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Matthews – Robertson – McMann
11:5450% CF
L2Tavares – Maccelli – Knies
9:2963% CF
L3Joshua – Roy – Cowan
6:5244% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Domi – Lorentz
4:5130% CF
D1McCabe – Carlo
14:5431% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – Rielly
12:5545% CF
D3Myers – Benoit
11:2163% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Matthews – Maccelli – Knies
3:38100% CF
PP2Ekman-Larsson – Roy – Robertson – Maccelli – McMann
0:57100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Roy
2:21
PK2FMatthews – Knies
2:20
PK1DMcCabe – Carlo
2:50
PK2DMyers – Benoit
1:44

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Benson L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	19:50	—	—	68	80
Tage Thompson C	L1	2	0	2	0	5	0.81	0	0	0	18:35	—	—	72	73
Jiri Kulich C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	15:24	—	—	71	82
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	3	2	0	15:04	—	—	55	50
Beck Malenstyn L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	6	1	0	14:19	—	—	55	74
Josh Dunne C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	2	12:14	—	—	56	76
Ryan McLeod C	L3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:47	—	—	30	24
Josh Doan R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:08	—	—	38	24
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	17	13:34	—	—	50	62
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.29	2	1	0	15:19	—	—	41	52
Jason Zucker L	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.27	0	0	0	14:54	—	—	28	32
Noah Ostlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	2	0	8:39	—	—	40	80
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.17	0	0	0	23:42	—	—	46	43
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.06	3	2	2	22:43	—	—	44	41
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	1	0	23:55	—	—	52	58
Conor Timmins D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.03	1	3	0	21:48	—	—	59	62
Bowen Byram D	D3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.13	0	2	0	18:21	—	—	62	60
Zach Metsa D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:08	—	—	31	20

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	O	23	19	4	.826	2.08	61:28

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	1	2	0	23:24	—	—	46	31
Bobby McMann C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:52	—	—	43	19
Nick Robertson L	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	2	0	0	14:54	—	—	50	31
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.20	1	0	0	22:26	—	—	63	76
John Tavares C	L2	1	1	2	+2	5	0.62	1	0	0	17:23	—	—	68	83
Matias Maccelli L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.30	0	1	0	15:27	—	—	62	82
Nicolas Roy C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	3	0	16:07	—	—	48	46
Dakota Joshua C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.06	5	0	0	12:55	—	—	39	25
Easton Cowan R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	1	0	0	10:58	—	—	57	75
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:34	—	—	31	6
Max Domi C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	0	1	0	10:29	—	—	45	49
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	1	1	0	8:36	—	—	39	67
Brandon Carlo D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	22:19	—	—	42	54
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	3	5	7	19:30	—	—	33	34
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	5	1	4	20:17	—	—	50	44
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	19:29	—	—	48	50
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	2	18:09	—	—	61	64
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	2	0	16:54	—	—	65	53

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cayden Primeau(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	2.37	61:28

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Nick Robertson (TOR) 1st 18:33 · assists Easton Cowan, Auston Matthews · Cycle · 8.1 mph shot.

Nick Robertson · 1st 18:33 · TOR

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Shot: 8.1 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matias Maccelli · 2nd 1:59 · TOR

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 31.5 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 4.8 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 1st 13:40 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 82.1 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bowen Byram · 2nd 14:23 · BUF

Play: point-shot
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 60.5 mph
Distance: 50 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 3rd 7:06 · BUF PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 42.5 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dakota Joshua · 3rd 13:10 · TOR

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 3
Shot: 30.1 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 4.3 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · OT 1:28 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 74.6 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Entry to goal: 1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 25, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

Nick Robertson · 1st 18:33 · TOR

Matias Maccelli · 2nd 1:59 · TOR

Tage Thompson · 1st 13:40 · BUF

Bowen Byram · 2nd 14:23 · BUF

Tage Thompson · 3rd 7:06 · BUF PP

Dakota Joshua · 3rd 13:10 · TOR

John Tavares · OT 1:28 · TOR