Ottawa Senators vs. Vegas Golden KnightsOct 17, 2019

Final / SOThursday, Oct 17, 2019· T-Mobile Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
OTT	1	0	1	0	0	2		OTT	13	11	10	5	39
VGK	2	0	0	0	1	3		VGK	16	16	20	2	54

: OTT 64VGK 87
: OTT 4.58VGK 5.46
PP goals: OTT 0VGK 1
Hits: OTT 42VGK 34
Blocks: OTT 17VGK 16
PIM: OTT 11VGK 13
: OTT 48%VGK 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Vegas Golden Knights edge Ottawa Senators 3–2 (SO)

Vegas Golden Knights beat Ottawa Senators 3–2 in a shootout at home. Connor Brown (OTT) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Anders Nilsson (OTT) faced 54 shots and stopped 52 (.963), +23 against a season average of 31.4; the overtime loss.

Points
Connor Brown had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 23:22.Brown
Goalie
Anders Nilsson (OTT) faced 54 shots and stopped 52 (.963), +23 against a season average of 31.4; the overtime loss.Nilsson
New line
New look for OTT: Ryan–Ennis–Pageau skated 6:06 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ryan Ennis Pageau
Luck
VGK scored 2 goals on 5.46 expected goals (87 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Namestnikov–Tierney–Brown skated 5:44 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Namestnikov Tierney Brown
Goalie
Marc-Andre Fleury (VGK) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +10 against a season average of 28.6; the win.Fleury
Luck
OTT scored 2 goals on 4.59 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Duclair–White–Tkachuk skated 4:47 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Duclair White Tkachuk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)VGK attacks right (top on phones) →

VGK
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 151 of 151 attempts · VGK 87 · OTT 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

VGK
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

VGK pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 29% of the game, VGK 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

VGK

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	VGK
	42	72
	2.39	4.38
	2.30	4.21
	8	17
	10	10
	19	29
	−0.019	+0.020
	29%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Ennis – Pageau
6:0673% CF
L2Namestnikov – Tierney – Brown
5:4429% CF
L3Duclair – White – Tkachuk
4:4727% CF
L4Szwarz – Sabourin – Paul
2:3750% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
17:5921% CF
D2Borowiecki – DeMelo
10:3850% CF
D3Hainsey – Brannstrom
10:0650% CF

PP1Ryan – Ennis – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
4:19100% CF
PP2Namestnikov – Tierney – Brown – Duclair – Brannstrom
2:54100% CF
PK1FPageau – Namestnikov
3:05
PK2FTierney – Brown
2:06
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:49
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
2:46

Current OTT line combinations →

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
10:4568% CF
L2Stastny – Pacioretty – Stone
9:3647% CF
L3Pirri – Eakin – Glass
8:0860% CF
L4Reaves – Carrier – Nosek
6:4567% CF
D1Holden – Merrill
14:5856% CF
D2McNabb – Theodore
14:4370% CF
D3Engelland – Hague
11:1553% CF

PP1Smith – Pirri – Karlsson – Marchessault – Theodore
2:4689% CF
PP2Stastny – Pacioretty – Stone – Theodore – Glass
2:4589% CF
PK1FSmith – Karlsson
3:14
PK2FEakin – Stone
3:01
PK1DHolden – Merrill
2:32
PK2DEngelland – McNabb
2:31

Current VGK line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:12
VGKReilly Smith (Jonathan Marchessault)backhand0.08 xG
OTT: Borowiecki, DeMelo, Namestnikov, Tierney, BrownVGK: Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Marchessault, Hague
OTT 0 – 1 VGK
5:12
OTTThomas Chabot (Connor Brown, Chris Tierney)wrist0.15 xG
OTT: Namestnikov, Tierney, Brown, Chabot, BrannstromVGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, McNabb, Hague, Glass
OTT 1 – 1 VGK
13:32
VGKNick HoldenPP (Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty)slap0.03 xG
OTT: White, Chabot, Zaitsev, TkachukVGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, Holden, McNabb, Stone
OTT 1 – 2 VGK

3rd period

4:25
OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau (Tyler Ennis, Connor Brown)wrist0.22 xG
OTT: Hainsey, Ennis, Pageau, Brown, ChabotVGK: McNabb, Smith, Marchessault, Theodore, Nosek
OTT 2 – 2 VGK

Decided in the shootout: OTT 2 – 3 VGK.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.46	1	0	0	21:23	—	—	57	55
Tyler Ennis R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.22	0	0	0	17:10	—	—	52	37
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:05	—	—	60	42
Connor Brown R	L2	0	2	2	+1	5	0.60	0	1	0	23:22	—	—	29	41
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.66	4	0	0	21:43	—	—	40	45
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.33	1	1	0	21:24	—	—	25	25
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	19:17	—	—	26	24
Brady Tkachuk L	L3	0	0	0	0	7	1.38	4	0	0	18:32	—	—	35	33
Anthony Duclair L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	1	1	4	15:18	—	—	32	22
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	0	0	11:15	—	—	25	26
Scott Sabourin R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	5	7:21	—	—	29	39
Jordan Szwarz C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	3	0	0	3:31	—	—	60	74
Thomas Chabot D	D1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.31	2	1	2	28:12	—	—	28	31
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	5	4	0	24:21	—	—	19	14
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	8	5	0	16:53	—	—	44	34
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	1	0	15:01	—	—	44	32
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	17:20	—	—	42	50
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:57	—	—	52	54

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson(start)	O	54	52	2	.963	5.46	64:56

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.67	3	0	0	19:48	—	—	67	61
William Karlsson C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.57	0	2	0	19:44	—	—	70	67
Reilly Smith R	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.48	0	1	0	19:21	—	—	62	56
Mark Stone R	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.34	1	1	0	19:49	—	—	61	67
Max Pacioretty L	L2	0	1	1	-1	5	0.32	1	0	0	18:54	—	—	63	64
Paul Stastny C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.37	3	1	0	18:38	—	—	52	51
Cody Glass C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.54	1	0	0	15:59	—	—	68	78
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	1	0	15:09	—	—	62	65
Brandon Pirri C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	1	1	0	12:08	—	—	59	73
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.56	0	1	2	9:57	—	—	56	63
William Carrier L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	2	0	2	9:12	—	—	73	74
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	4	0	5	8:45	—	—	67	70
Nick Holden D	D1	1	0	1	0	3	0.10	2	4	0	23:38	—	—	63	77
Jon Merrill D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	1	1	0	21:21	—	—	58	54
Shea Theodore D	D2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.49	2	2	0	23:33	—	—	71	80
Brayden McNabb D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	4	1	2	18:23	—	—	64	71
Deryk Engelland D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	5	0	0	19:16	—	—	61	53
Nicolas Hague D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	3	0	0	13:24	—	—	54	43

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	W	39	37	2	.949	4.58	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.