Dallas Stars vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 6, 2024

FinalTuesday, Feb 6, 2024· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DAL	1	1	0	2		DAL	8	4	18	30
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	16	16	16	48

: DAL 60BUF 83
: DAL 4.15BUF 4.23
PP goals: DAL 1BUF 1
Hits: DAL 17BUF 13
Blocks: DAL 23BUF 13
PIM: DAL 8BUF 10
: DAL 60%BUF 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Dallas Stars edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Dallas Stars beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at BUF. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Jake Oettinger (DAL) faced 48 shots and stopped 47 (.979), +21 against a season average of 27.3; the win.

Goalie
Jake Oettinger (DAL) faced 48 shots and stopped 47 (.979), +21 against a season average of 27.3; the win.Oettinger
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 4.23 expected goals (83 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
DAL scored 2 goals on 4.15 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Girgensons–Robinson–Krebs skated 6:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (30.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Robinson Krebs
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 29:16, +3:54 up on his 25:22 season average over 80 games.Dahlin
Usage
Erik Johnson (BUF) played 9:02, −5:31 down on his 14:33 season average over 66 games.Johnson
Usage
Peyton Krebs (BUF) played 7:57, −4:37 down on his 12:34 season average over 79 games.Krebs
Usage
Ryan Johnson (BUF) played 9:28, −4:31 down on his 13:59 season average over 40 games.Johnson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DAL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DAL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 143 of 143 attempts · BUF 83 · DAL 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DAL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DAL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DAL 33% of the game, BUF 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DAL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DAL	BUF
	46	70
	2.47	2.93
	2.32	2.78
	12	11
	7	2
	13	6
	+0.096	−0.096
	33%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Dallas Stars

L1Hintz – Robertson – Johnston
10:5136% CF
L2Duchene – Seguin – Marchment
10:3725% CF
L3Dadonov – Smith – Faksa
4:2014% CF
L4Pavelski – Benn – Steel
4:1440% CF
D1Heiskanen – Harley
14:1341% CF
D2Hakanpää – Lindell
11:5823% CF
D3Suter – Lundkvist
8:4154% CF

PP1Pavelski – Duchene – Hintz – Robertson – Heiskanen
4:45100% CF
PP2Dadonov – Duchene – Seguin – Harley – Johnston
1:26100% CF
PK1FSeguin – Hintz
1:40
PK2FBenn – Johnston
1:30
PK1DHakanpää – Lindell
4:38
PK2DSuter – Harley
2:07

Current DAL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Greenway – Mittelstadt
10:3161% CF
L2Cozens – Peterka – Benson
9:1483% CF
L3Okposo – Skinner – Thompson
8:4448% CF
L4Girgensons – Robinson – Krebs
6:4431% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
15:4274% CF
D2Clifton – Power
12:0852% CF
D3Johnson – Johnson
5:3075% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:35100% CF
PP2Tuch – Greenway – Mittelstadt – Peterka – Power
2:58100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
2:19
PK2FTuch – Benson
1:08
PK1DJohnson – Power
1:36
PK2DJokiharju – Dahlin
0:42

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:58
DALMatt DuchenePP (Tyler Seguin, Mason Marchment)wrist0.14 xG
DAL: Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Harley, JohnstonBUF: Johnson, Greenway, Cozens, Power
DAL 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

5:53
BUFTage ThompsonPP (Rasmus Dahlin, Jeff Skinner)slap0.08 xG
DAL: Hakanpää, Lindell, Steel, JohnstonBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka
DAL 1 – 1 BUF
9:04
DALSam Steel (Radek Faksa, Craig Smith)deflected0.37 xG
DAL: Smith, Faksa, Steel, Heiskanen, HarleyBUF: Okposo, Skinner, Clifton, Thompson, Power
DAL 2 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Dallas Stars

DAL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Roope Hintz C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.45	0	1	2	19:36	—	—	38	59
Wyatt Johnston C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	0	2	0	19:06	—	—	39	59
Jason Robertson L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.73	2	0	0	18:14	—	—	40	59
Matt Duchene C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.58	1	1	2	17:41	—	—	31	25
Tyler Seguin C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	2	2	0	17:04	—	—	27	21
Mason Marchment L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.21	0	1	0	12:41	—	—	24	11
Evgenii Dadonov L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	0	0	0	12:17	—	—	52	51
Radek Faksa C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	3	1	0	10:48	—	—	36	42
Craig Smith C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.21	1	1	0	9:13	—	—	41	43
Jamie Benn L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	15:22	—	—	60	68
Joe Pavelski C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	0	1	0	14:58	—	—	57	68
Sam Steel C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.37	2	0	2	12:08	—	—	50	54
Miro Heiskanen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.15	0	3	2	24:08	—	—	47	57
Thomas Harley D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.09	0	4	0	22:35	—	—	43	45
Esa Lindell D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	19:17	—	—	23	19
Jani Hakanpää D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	18:34	—	—	21	7
Ryan Suter D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:25	—	—	57	72
Nils Lundkvist D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	0	12:39	—	—	46	61

DAL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Oettinger(start)	W	48	47	1	.979	4.23	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.46	0	1	0	21:17	—	—	63	39
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	2	21:10	—	—	55	38
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	0	0	18:26	—	—	52	38
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	0	8	0.88	1	0	0	20:59	—	—	81	75
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.43	0	0	0	15:34	—	—	76	78
Zach Benson L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	0	1	0	11:56	—	—	81	79
Tage Thompson C	L3	1	0	1	-1	6	0.51	1	0	2	16:41	—	—	56	26
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	15:39	—	—	56	23
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	13:31	—	—	48	19
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	2	1	0	8:05	—	—	33	60
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	7:57	—	—	36	72
Eric Robinson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	0	0	0	7:35	—	—	29	64
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	8	0.45	1	0	0	29:16	—	—	62	48
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	2	20:50	—	—	68	70
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.19	1	3	0	25:29	—	—	52	39
Connor Clifton D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	2	2	18:24	—	—	49	31
Ryan Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	9:28	—	—	77	82
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	1	0	9:02	—	—	71	97

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	30	28	2	.933	4.15	59:17

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Matt Duchene (DAL PP) 1st 3:58 · assists Tyler Seguin, Mason Marchment · Forecheck turnover · 63.0 mph shot.

Matt Duchene · 1st 3:58 · DAL PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 63.0 mph
Distance: 35 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 2nd 5:53 · BUF PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 83.2 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Sam Steel · 2nd 9:04 · DAL

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 3.7 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 4.6 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.