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NHL Stack Finder: Sunday, Oct 11

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Sunday, Oct 11 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: NYR L2 (Miller–Bjorkstrand–Dorofeyev) vs VAN.

Data updated: Oct 3, 4:36 PM ET

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

#1NYRL2vs VAN0.66 xG
J.T. Miller92%, Oliver Bjorkstrand20%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%
8.9 min/game · 3.59 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VAN 5v5 xGA/60 +16%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 3 of last 3
#2NYRL1vs VAN0.59 xG
Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière82%, Gabe Perreault53%
10.8 min/game · 2.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VAN 5v5 xGA/60 +16%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 3 of last 3
#3WSHL2vs SEA0.56 xG
Jordan Kyrou80%, Aliaksei Protas59%, Ilya Protas44%
8.5 min/game · 4.14 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
#4SEAL3vs WSH0.44 xG
Jordan Eberle30%, Chandler Stephenson17%, Bobby McMann44%
8.4 min/game · 4.31 xGF/60 · P(intact) 75%
- WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- vs Logan Thompson .912 (84% to start)
- Thompson .858 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 2
#5WSHL3vs SEA0.41 xG
Alex Ovechkin96%, Dylan Strome83%, Ryan Leonard66%
6.4 min/game · 4.06 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
#6NYRL3vs VAN0.40 xG
Eeli Tolvanen35%, Will Cuylle64%, Noah Laba11%
8.0 min/game · 2.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VAN 5v5 xGA/60 +16%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 3 of last 3
#7CARPP1vs PHI0.38 xG
Shayne Gostisbehere96%, Nikolaj Ehlers93%, Sebastian Aho99%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Jackson Blake69%
3.4 min/game · 8.73 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- PHI shorthanded time +9%
- PHI PK xGA/60 −5%
- vs Joseph Woll .900 (51% to start)
- Woll .878 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
#8CARL1vs PHI0.37 xG
Taylor Hall28%, Logan Stankoven67%, Jackson Blake69%
7.2 min/game · 3.72 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
- vs Joseph Woll .900 (51% to start)
- Woll .878 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
#9WSHL1vs SEA0.37 xG
Boone Jenner21%, Anthony Beauvillier4.0%, Justin Sourdif17%
9.3 min/game · 2.46 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
#10WSHL4vs SEA0.34 xG
Tom Wilson94%, Alex Tuch94%, Pierre-Luc Dubois42%
6.0 min/game · 3.51 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1

By game

SEA @ WSH

WSHL2vs SEA0.56 xG
Jordan Kyrou80%, Aliaksei Protas59%, Ilya Protas44%
8.5 min/game · 4.14 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
SEAL3vs WSH0.44 xG
Jordan Eberle30%, Chandler Stephenson17%, Bobby McMann44%
8.4 min/game · 4.31 xGF/60 · P(intact) 75%
- WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- vs Logan Thompson .912 (84% to start)
- Thompson .858 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 2
WSHL3vs SEA0.41 xG
Alex Ovechkin96%, Dylan Strome83%, Ryan Leonard66%
6.4 min/game · 4.06 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
WSHL1vs SEA0.37 xG
Boone Jenner21%, Anthony Beauvillier4.0%, Justin Sourdif17%
9.3 min/game · 2.46 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
WSHL4vs SEA0.34 xG
Tom Wilson94%, Alex Tuch94%, Pierre-Luc Dubois42%
6.0 min/game · 3.51 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
SEAPP1vs WSH0.31 xG
Jordan Eberle30%, Chandler Stephenson17%, Jared McCann72%, Vince Dunn89%, Bobby McMann44%
3.1 min/game · 7.88 xGF/60 · P(intact) 75%
- WSH shorthanded time +6%
- WSH PK xGA/60 +6%
- vs Logan Thompson .912 (84% to start)
- Thompson .858 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 2
SEAL2vs WSH0.28 xG
Jared McCann72%, Kaapo Kakko18%, Matty Beniers50%
9.5 min/game · 2.40 xGF/60 · P(intact) 75%
- WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- vs Logan Thompson .912 (84% to start)
- Thompson .858 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 2
WSHPP1vs SEA0.18 xG
Alex Ovechkin96%, Tom Wilson94%, Dylan Strome83%, Jakob Chychrun99%, Pierre-Luc Dubois42%
1.5 min/game · 6.94 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- SEA shorthanded time −18%
- SEA PK xGA/60 +8%
- vs Joey Daccord .899 (76% to start)
- Daccord .862 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 1
SEAL1vs WSH0.06 xG
Frederick Gaudreau0.2%, Ryan Winterton4.0%, Ben Meyers0.0%
10.8 min/game · 1.89 xGF/60 · P(intact) 18%
- WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +3%
- vs Logan Thompson .912 (84% to start)
- Thompson .858 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 2

VAN @ NYR

NYRL2vs VAN0.66 xG
J.T. Miller92%, Oliver Bjorkstrand20%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%
8.9 min/game · 3.59 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VAN 5v5 xGA/60 +16%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 3 of last 3
NYRL1vs VAN0.59 xG
Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière82%, Gabe Perreault53%
10.8 min/game · 2.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VAN 5v5 xGA/60 +16%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 3 of last 3
NYRL3vs VAN0.40 xG
Eeli Tolvanen35%, Will Cuylle64%, Noah Laba11%
8.0 min/game · 2.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VAN 5v5 xGA/60 +16%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 3 of last 3
VANPP1vs NYR0.33 xG
Brock Boeser64%, Jake DeBrusk49%, Filip Hronek91%, Elias Pettersson87%, Marco Rossi60%
3.4 min/game · 8.11 xGF/60 · P(intact) 75%
- NYR shorthanded time +6%
- NYR PK xGA/60 +2%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (63% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 2
NYRPP1vs VAN0.24 xG
Mika Zibanejad98%, J.T. Miller92%, Adam Fox99%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%, Alexis Lafrenière82%
2.1 min/game · 6.34 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- VAN shorthanded time −11%
- VAN PK xGA/60 +4%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 3 of last 3
VANL1vs NYR0.20 xG
Brock Boeser64%, Marco Rossi60%, Liam Ohgren17%
7.5 min/game · 1.84 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (63% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 2
VANL2vs NYR0.19 xG
Linus Karlsson11%, Drew O'Connor5.9%, Max Sasson4.9%
7.0 min/game · 1.91 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (63% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 2
NYRL4vs VAN0.18 xG
Joseph Veleno4.1%, Tye Kartye7.2%, Jaroslav Chmelar3.2%
5.3 min/game · 1.87 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- VAN 5v5 xGA/60 +16%
- vs Thatcher Demko .897 (34% to start)
- Demko .882 on other shots
- Together 2 of last 3
VANL4vs NYR0.14 xG
Brendan Gallagher3.3%, Paul Cotter19%, Arshdeep Bains3.2%
5.6 min/game · 1.78 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (63% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 2
VANL3vs NYR0.11 xG
Jake DeBrusk49%, Elias Pettersson87%, Jonathan Lekkerimäki25%
6.5 min/game · 1.24 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (63% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 2

CAR @ PHI

CARPP1vs PHI0.38 xG
Shayne Gostisbehere96%, Nikolaj Ehlers93%, Sebastian Aho99%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Jackson Blake69%
3.4 min/game · 8.73 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- PHI shorthanded time +9%
- PHI PK xGA/60 −5%
- vs Joseph Woll .900 (51% to start)
- Woll .878 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
CARL1vs PHI0.37 xG
Taylor Hall28%, Logan Stankoven67%, Jackson Blake69%
7.2 min/game · 3.72 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
- vs Joseph Woll .900 (51% to start)
- Woll .878 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
CARL2vs PHI0.19 xG
Jordan Staal20%, Jordan Martinook4.3%, Nikolaj Ehlers93%
6.0 min/game · 2.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
- vs Joseph Woll .900 (51% to start)
- Woll .878 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
CARL3vs PHI0.19 xG
Sebastian Aho99%, Eric Robinson3.2%, Andrei Svechnikov97%
5.6 min/game · 2.75 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
- vs Joseph Woll .900 (51% to start)
- Woll .878 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
PHIL1vs CAR0.16 xG
Sean Couturier9.2%, Noel Acciari3.3%, Carl Grundstrom0.1%
6.3 min/game · 1.91 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- CAR 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- vs Brandon Bussi .894 (55% to start)
- Bussi .843 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
PHIPP1vs CAR0.15 xG
Trevor Zegras86%, Jamie Drysdale55%, Tyson Foerster42%, Matvei Michkov86%, Porter Martone90%
1.8 min/game · 6.88 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- CAR shorthanded time +10%
- CAR PK xGA/60 −14%
- vs Brandon Bussi .894 (55% to start)
- Bussi .843 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
CARL4vs PHI0.10 xG
Nicolas Deslauriers0.2%, Mark Jankowski0.2%, William Carrier0.1%
4.0 min/game · 2.16 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- PHI 5v5 xGA/60 −10%
- vs Joseph Woll .900 (51% to start)
- Woll .878 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
PHIL2vs CAR0.04 xG
Trevor Zegras86%, Tyson Foerster42%, Porter Martone90%
11.2 min/game · 2.05 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- CAR 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- vs Brandon Bussi .894 (55% to start)
- Bussi .843 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 3
PHIL3vs CAR0.04 xG
Christian Dvorak16%, Travis Konecny92%, Alex Bump15%
9.4 min/game · 2.39 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- CAR 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
- vs Brandon Bussi .894 (55% to start)
- Bussi .843 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 3

How it works

Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.