Who to start · 2025-26
Akira Schmid vs Ilya Sorokin
In 2025-26, Akira Schmid posted a .892 save percentage to Ilya Sorokin's .906.
Against our expected-goals model, Schmid saved −6.9 goals and Sorokin +24.4.
This week Schmid has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Sorokin has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Sorokin for 2.2 ESPN points to Schmid's 0.4.
Ilya Sorokin has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Schmid's biggest edges: Overtime losses 6, Goals against 85, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.84.
Sorokin's biggest edges: High-danger save % .864, Goals saved above expected +24.4, Saves 1,386.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .923 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Akira Schmid
1.17
fantasy points per game
Ilya Sorokin
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ilya Sorokin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Schmid | Sorokin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.76 | 1.98 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.19 | -5.16 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.24 | 5.03 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Schmid vs Sorokin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Schmid | Sorokin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | VGK 4–5 NYI | 0/0 SV | 33/37 SV |
| 2025-11-13 | VGK 3–4 NYI | 20/24 SV | 26/29 SV |
| 2023-11-28 | NJD 5–4 NYI | 8/8 SV | 28/33 SV |
| 2023-10-20 | NJD 5–4 NYI | 28/32 SV | 34/39 SV |
| 2022-12-09 | NJD 4–6 NYI | 13/15 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2021-12-11 | NJD 2–4 NYI | 25/29 SV | 30/32 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Akira Schmid
3games (1 left)
0.4proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 5th-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA24% to start0.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Ilya Sorokin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
About 1.0 expected starts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 12th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD97% to start2.2 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Akira Schmid or Ilya Sorokin?
- In 2025-26, Akira Schmid posted a .892 save percentage to Ilya Sorokin's .906. Against our expected-goals model, Schmid saved −6.9 goals and Sorokin +24.4. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Akira Schmid or Ilya Sorokin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ilya Sorokin leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Schmid and Sorokin done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Schmid's team went 2–4.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →