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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Nedeljkovic vs Filip Gustavsson

In 2025-26, Alex Nedeljkovic posted a .896 save percentage to Filip Gustavsson's .904.

Against our expected-goals model, Nedeljkovic saved +1.6 goals and Gustavsson +4.1.

This week Nedeljkovic has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts); Gustavsson has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts). We project Gustavsson for 0.2 ESPN points to Nedeljkovic's 0.1.

Filip Gustavsson has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Nedeljkovic's biggest edges: High-danger save % .835, Goals against 109.

Gustavsson's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Wins 28, Overtime losses 6.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Nedeljkovic

1.15

fantasy points per game

Filip Gustavsson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Gustavsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNedeljkovicGustavsson
Wins (+4)1.802.24
Goals against (-2)-5.45-5.32
Saves (+0.2)4.704.98
Shutouts (+3)0.000.24
OT losses (+1)0.100.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nedeljkovic vs Gustavsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NedeljkovicGustavsson
6Team record in 9 meetings3

Games against each other

Games between Alex Nedeljkovic and Filip Gustavsson
DateScoreNedeljkovicGustavsson
2025-12-31SJS 4–3 MIN0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-11-11SJS 2–1 MIN0/0 SV16/18 SV
2025-10-26SJS 6–5 MIN0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-09PIT 3–1 MIN0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-10-29PIT 3–5 MIN0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-02-09PIT 2–3 MIN27/30 SV0/0 SV
2023-12-18PIT 4–3 MIN24/27 SV26/30 SV
2022-12-14DET 1–4 MIN0/0 SV16/17 SV
2022-10-29DET 2–1 MIN0/0 SV23/25 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NedeljkovicGustavsson

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Nedeljkovic

2games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK7% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to GSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Filip Gustavsson

2games (1 left)

0.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to GLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS11% to start0.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Nedeljkovic or Filip Gustavsson?
In 2025-26, Alex Nedeljkovic posted a .896 save percentage to Filip Gustavsson's .904. Against our expected-goals model, Nedeljkovic saved +1.6 goals and Gustavsson +4.1. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Alex Nedeljkovic or Filip Gustavsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Filip Gustavsson leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nedeljkovic and Gustavsson done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Nedeljkovic's team went 6–3.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →