Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Nedeljkovic vs Mackenzie Blackwood

In 2025-26, Alex Nedeljkovic posted a .896 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903.

Against our expected-goals model, Nedeljkovic saved +1.6 goals and Blackwood +5.5.

This week Nedeljkovic has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts); Blackwood has 1 left (about 0.7 expected starts). We project Blackwood for 1.6 ESPN points to Nedeljkovic's 0.2.

Mackenzie Blackwood has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Nedeljkovic's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.03, Overtime losses 4, High-danger save % .835.

Blackwood's biggest edges: Shutouts 3, Goals-against average 2.50, Goals against 90.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .871 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Nedeljkovic

1.15

fantasy points per game

Mackenzie Blackwood

2.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mackenzie Blackwood has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNedeljkovicBlackwood
Wins (+4)1.802.36
Goals against (-2)-5.45-4.62
Saves (+0.2)4.704.32
Shutouts (+3)0.000.23
OT losses (+1)0.100.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nedeljkovic vs Blackwood

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NedeljkovicBlackwood
4Team record in 8 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Alex Nedeljkovic and Mackenzie Blackwood
DateScoreNedeljkovicBlackwood
2026-02-04SJS 2–4 COL0/0 SV23/25 SV
2025-11-26SJS 0–6 COL21/23 SV26/26 SV
2025-11-01SJS 3–2 COL0/0 SV20/23 SV
2025-03-04PIT 1–4 COL21/23 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-16PIT 4–3 SJS26/29 SV25/26 SV
2022-10-25DET 2–6 NJD35/41 SV0/0 SV
2022-10-15DET 5–2 NJD37/39 SV0/0 SV
2022-04-29DET 5–3 NJD0/0 SV30/34 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NedeljkovicBlackwood

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Nedeljkovic

2games (1 left)

0.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK15% to start0.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)

Mackenzie Blackwood

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

About 0.7 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL74% to start1.6 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Nedeljkovic or Mackenzie Blackwood?
In 2025-26, Alex Nedeljkovic posted a .896 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903. Against our expected-goals model, Nedeljkovic saved +1.6 goals and Blackwood +5.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Alex Nedeljkovic or Mackenzie Blackwood?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mackenzie Blackwood leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nedeljkovic and Blackwood done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Nedeljkovic's team went 4–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →