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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Nedeljkovic vs Tristan Jarry

In 2025-26, Alex Nedeljkovic posted a .896 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882.

Against our expected-goals model, Nedeljkovic saved +1.6 goals and Jarry −4.0.

This week Nedeljkovic has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts); Jarry has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Jarry for 0.4 ESPN points to Nedeljkovic's 0.1.

Alex Nedeljkovic has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Nedeljkovic's biggest edges: Save % .896, Rebounds prevented /100 +1.03, Goals-against average 2.87.

Jarry's biggest edges: Shutouts 2, Goals against 98.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .739 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Nedeljkovic

1.15

fantasy points per game

Tristan Jarry

0.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Nedeljkovic has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNedeljkovicJarry
Wins (+4)1.802.18
Goals against (-2)-5.45-5.94
Saves (+0.2)4.704.45
Shutouts (+3)0.000.18
OT losses (+1)0.100.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nedeljkovic vs Jarry

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NedeljkovicJarry
4Team record in 9 meetings5

Games against each other

Games between Alex Nedeljkovic and Tristan Jarry
DateScoreNedeljkovicJarry
2026-04-08SJS 2–5 EDM21/26 SV4/4 SV
2026-03-17SJS 3–5 EDM32/37 SV0/0 SV
2026-02-28SJS 5–4 EDM0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-29SJS 3–4 EDM0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-10-18SJS 0–3 PIT24/26 SV31/31 SV
2023-03-28DET 7–4 PIT35/39 SV0/0 SV
2022-03-27DET 2–11 PIT15/22 SV33/35 SV
2022-01-28DET 3–2 PIT0/0 SV0/0 SV
2020-03-08CAR 6–2 PIT28/30 SV30/36 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NedeljkovicJarry

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Nedeljkovic

2games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK7% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Tristan Jarry

3games (1 left)

0.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA86% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Nedeljkovic or Tristan Jarry?
In 2025-26, Alex Nedeljkovic posted a .896 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882. Against our expected-goals model, Nedeljkovic saved +1.6 goals and Jarry −4.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Alex Nedeljkovic or Tristan Jarry?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Nedeljkovic leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nedeljkovic and Jarry done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Nedeljkovic's team went 4–5.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →