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Who to start · 2025-26

Brandon Bussi vs Jacob Markstrom

In 2025-26, Brandon Bussi posted a .895 save percentage to Jacob Markstrom's .883.

Against our expected-goals model, Bussi saved +0.3 goals and Markstrom −13.7.

This week Bussi has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Markstrom has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Markstrom for 1.1 ESPN points to Bussi's 0.4.

Brandon Bussi has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Bussi's biggest edges: Goals-against average 2.47, Goals saved above expected +0.3, High-danger save % .829.

Markstrom's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.21, Saves 983, Games started 43.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 W, .872 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brandon Bussi

2.09

fantasy points per game

Jacob Markstrom

1.14

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Bussi has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBussiMarkstrom
Wins (+4)2.812.21
Goals against (-2)-5.10-5.54
Saves (+0.2)4.174.38
Shutouts (+3)0.150.07
OT losses (+1)0.050.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bussi vs Markstrom

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BussiMarkstrom
4Team record in 5 meetings1

Games against each other

Games between Brandon Bussi and Jacob Markstrom
DateScoreBussiMarkstrom
2026-09-29CAR 0–1 FLA19/20 SV15/15 SV
2026-03-28CAR 5–2 NJD17/19 SV29/33 SV
2026-01-17CAR 4–1 NJD0/0 SV31/35 SV
2026-01-04CAR 3–1 NJD28/29 SV0/0 SV
2025-10-09CAR 6–3 NJD0/0 SV27/32 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BussiMarkstrom

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brandon Bussi

3games (1 left)

0.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B14% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to GSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Jacob Markstrom

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA76% to start1.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Brandon Bussi or Jacob Markstrom?
In 2025-26, Brandon Bussi posted a .895 save percentage to Jacob Markstrom's .883. Against our expected-goals model, Bussi saved +0.3 goals and Markstrom −13.7. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Brandon Bussi or Jacob Markstrom?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Bussi leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bussi and Markstrom done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Bussi's team went 4–1.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →