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Who to start · 2025-26

Brandon Bussi vs John Gibson

In 2025-26, Brandon Bussi posted a .895 save percentage to John Gibson's .901.

Against our expected-goals model, Bussi saved +0.3 goals and Gibson +13.8.

This week Bussi has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Gibson has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Gibson for 1.7 ESPN points to Bussi's 0.4.

John Gibson has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Bussi's biggest edges: Goals against 97, Goals-against average 2.47, High-danger save % .829.

Gibson's biggest edges: Saves 1,317, Goals saved above expected +13.8, Overtime losses 4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 W, .872 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .950 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brandon Bussi

2.09

fantasy points per game

John Gibson

1.95

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Bussi has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBussiGibson
Wins (+4)2.811.91
Goals against (-2)-5.10-4.86
Saves (+0.2)4.174.57
Shutouts (+3)0.150.26
OT losses (+1)0.050.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bussi vs Gibson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BussiGibson
2Team record in 3 meetings1

Games against each other

Games between Brandon Bussi and John Gibson
DateScoreBussiGibson
2026-02-28CAR 5–2 DET0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-12CAR 3–4 DET0/0 SV31/34 SV
2025-12-27CAR 5–2 DET18/20 SV33/37 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BussiGibson

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brandon Bussi

3games (1 left)

0.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B14% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to GSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

John Gibson

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG81% to start1.7 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Brandon Bussi or John Gibson?
In 2025-26, Brandon Bussi posted a .895 save percentage to John Gibson's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Bussi saved +0.3 goals and Gibson +13.8. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Brandon Bussi or John Gibson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Gibson leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bussi and Gibson done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Bussi's team went 2–1.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →