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Who to start · 2025-26

Casey DeSmith vs Ilya Sorokin

In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Ilya Sorokin's .906.

Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Sorokin +24.4.

This week DeSmith has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts); Sorokin has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project DeSmith for 2.5 ESPN points to Sorokin's 2.2.

Ilya Sorokin has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

DeSmith's biggest edges: Goals against 71, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.58, Overtime losses 6.

Sorokin's biggest edges: Saves 1,386, Wins 29, Shutouts 7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .923 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Casey DeSmith

2.16

fantasy points per game

Ilya Sorokin

2.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ilya Sorokin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeSmithSorokin
Wins (+4)2.002.11
Goals against (-2)-4.73-5.24
Saves (+0.2)4.595.04
Shutouts (+3)0.100.38
OT losses (+1)0.200.04

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeSmith vs Sorokin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeSmithSorokin
10Team record in 19 meetings9

Games against each other

Games between Casey DeSmith and Ilya Sorokin
DateScoreDeSmithSorokin
2026-03-26DAL 1–2 NYI0/0 SV26/27 SV
2025-11-18DAL 2–3 NYI0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-02-23DAL 4–3 NYI0/0 SV25/29 SV
2024-10-12DAL 3–0 NYI0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-01-09VAN 5–2 NYI18/20 SV29/33 SV
2023-11-15VAN 4–3 NYI0/0 SV39/43 SV
2023-03-09PIT 3–4 NYI0/0 SV33/36 SV
2023-02-20PIT 2–4 NYI0/0 SV44/46 SV
2023-02-17PIT 4–5 NYI23/28 SV40/44 SV
2022-12-27PIT 1–5 NYI0/0 SV20/21 SV
2022-04-14PIT 6–3 NYI0/0 SV22/26 SV
2022-04-12PIT 4–5 NYI33/37 SV43/47 SV

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeSmithSorokin

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Casey DeSmith

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B89% to start2.5 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Ilya Sorokin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD97% to start2.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

FAQ

Should I start Casey DeSmith or Ilya Sorokin?
In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Ilya Sorokin's .906. Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Sorokin +24.4. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Casey DeSmith or Ilya Sorokin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ilya Sorokin leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeSmith and Sorokin done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, DeSmith's team went 10–9.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →