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Who to start · 2025-26

Casey DeSmith vs Jeremy Swayman

In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Jeremy Swayman's .908.

Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Swayman +23.3.

This week DeSmith has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts); Swayman has 1 left (about 0.2 expected starts). We project DeSmith for 2.4 ESPN points to Swayman's 0.3.

Jeremy Swayman has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

DeSmith's biggest edges: Goals against 71, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.58, Goals-against average 2.43.

Swayman's biggest edges: Saves 1,426, Wins 31, Games started 54.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 W, .947 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Casey DeSmith

2.16

fantasy points per game

Jeremy Swayman

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jeremy Swayman has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeSmithSwayman
Wins (+4)2.002.25
Goals against (-2)-4.73-5.31
Saves (+0.2)4.595.19
Shutouts (+3)0.100.11
OT losses (+1)0.200.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeSmith vs Swayman

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeSmithSwayman
7Team record in 13 meetings6

Games against each other

Games between Casey DeSmith and Jeremy Swayman
DateScoreDeSmithSwayman
2026-03-31DAL 3–6 BOS0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-20DAL 6–2 BOS0/0 SV28/34 SV
2024-11-14DAL 7–2 BOS0/0 SV31/38 SV
2024-10-24DAL 5–2 BOS25/27 SV27/31 SV
2024-02-24VAN 3–2 BOS0/0 SV36/39 SV
2024-02-08VAN 0–4 BOS0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-04-01PIT 3–4 BOS0/0 SV21/24 SV
2023-01-02PIT 1–2 BOS19/21 SV0/0 SV
2022-11-01PIT 5–6 BOS0/0 SV4/4 SV
2022-04-21PIT 4–0 BOS52/52 SV28/31 SV
2022-04-16PIT 1–2 BOS27/29 SV23/24 SV
2022-02-08PIT 4–2 BOS0/0 SV21/24 SV

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeSmithSwayman

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Casey DeSmith

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B88% to start2.4 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Jeremy Swayman

3games (1 left)

0.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B18% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Casey DeSmith or Jeremy Swayman?
In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Jeremy Swayman's .908. Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Swayman +23.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Casey DeSmith or Jeremy Swayman?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jeremy Swayman leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeSmith and Swayman done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, DeSmith's team went 7–6.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →