Who to start · 2025-26
Jeremy Swayman vs Sergei Bobrovsky
In 2025-26, Jeremy Swayman posted a .908 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877.
Against our expected-goals model, Swayman saved +23.3 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3.
This week Swayman has 2 games left (about 1.7 expected starts); Bobrovsky has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). We project Swayman for 3.4 ESPN points to Bobrovsky's 1.4.
Jeremy Swayman has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Swayman's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +23.3, High-danger save % .839, Save % .908.
Bobrovsky's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.49.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jeremy Swayman
2.73
fantasy points per game
Sergei Bobrovsky
0.48
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jeremy Swayman has the edge.
| Points per game from | Swayman | Bobrovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.36 | 1.95 |
| Goals against (-2) | -4.98 | -5.93 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 5.16 | 4.21 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Swayman vs Bobrovsky
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Swayman | Bobrovsky |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | BOS 1–2 FLA | 22/24 SV | 28/29 SV |
| 2026-02-04 | BOS 4–5 FLA | 0/0 SV | 25/29 SV |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3–4 FLA | 19/23 SV | 28/31 SV |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3–2 FLA | 26/28 SV | 21/24 SV |
| 2025-01-11 | BOS 4–3 FLA | 40/43 SV | 14/18 SV |
| 2024-10-14 | BOS 3–4 FLA | 22/26 SV | 24/27 SV |
| 2024-10-08 | BOS 4–6 FLA | 0/0 SV | 24/28 SV |
| 2024-05-17 · PO | BOS 1–2 FLA | 26/28 SV | 22/23 SV |
| 2024-05-14 · PO | BOS 2–1 FLA | 28/29 SV | 26/28 SV |
| 2024-05-12 · PO | BOS 2–3 FLA | 38/41 SV | 16/18 SV |
| 2024-05-10 · PO | BOS 2–6 FLA | 27/32 SV | 15/17 SV |
| 2024-05-08 · PO | BOS 1–6 FLA | 19/23 SV | 14/15 SV |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jeremy Swayman
3games (2 left)
3.4proj. ESPN pts
About 1.7 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 9th-most FP to GLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG97% to start2.0 ptsSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B71% to start1.4 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Sergei Bobrovsky
3games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 4th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT76% to start1.4 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jeremy Swayman or Sergei Bobrovsky?
- In 2025-26, Jeremy Swayman posted a .908 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877. Against our expected-goals model, Swayman saved +23.3 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Jeremy Swayman or Sergei Bobrovsky?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jeremy Swayman leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Swayman and Bobrovsky done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Swayman's team went 15–15.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →