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Who to start · 2025-26

Casey DeSmith vs Lukas Dostal

In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888.

Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Dostal −3.6.

This week DeSmith has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts); Dostal has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). We project DeSmith for 2.4 ESPN points to Dostal's 1.3.

Casey DeSmith has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

DeSmith's biggest edges: Goals against 71, Goals-against average 2.43, Save % .907.

Dostal's biggest edges: Saves 1,344, Wins 30, Games started 55.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .900 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Casey DeSmith

2.16

fantasy points per game

Lukas Dostal

0.98

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Casey DeSmith has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeSmithDostal
Wins (+4)2.002.14
Goals against (-2)-4.73-6.04
Saves (+0.2)4.594.80
Shutouts (+3)0.100.00
OT losses (+1)0.200.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeSmith vs Dostal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeSmithDostal
5Team record in 9 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Casey DeSmith and Lukas Dostal
DateScoreDeSmithDostal
2026-01-13DAL 1–3 ANA22/24 SV24/25 SV
2025-12-19DAL 8–3 ANA22/25 SV3/7 SV
2025-11-06DAL 5–7 ANA0/0 SV21/26 SV
2025-03-18DAL 4–3 ANA0/0 SV27/31 SV
2025-02-04DAL 1–2 ANA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-18DAL 2–4 ANA23/27 SV34/36 SV
2024-03-31VAN 3–2 ANA0/0 SV27/30 SV
2024-03-03VAN 2–1 ANA17/18 SV29/31 SV
2023-11-28VAN 3–1 ANA0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeSmithDostal

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Casey DeSmith

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B88% to start2.4 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Lukas Dostal

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to GLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA84% to start1.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Casey DeSmith or Lukas Dostal?
In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888. Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Dostal −3.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Casey DeSmith or Lukas Dostal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Casey DeSmith leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeSmith and Dostal done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, DeSmith's team went 5–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →