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Who to start · 2025-26

Casey DeSmith vs Sergei Bobrovsky

In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877.

Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3.

This week DeSmith has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Bobrovsky has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts). We project DeSmith for 2.4 ESPN points to Bobrovsky's 1.7.

Casey DeSmith has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

DeSmith's biggest edges: Overtime losses 6, High-danger save % .830, Goals against 71.

Bobrovsky's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Saves 1,096, Wins 27.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Casey DeSmith

2.16

fantasy points per game

Sergei Bobrovsky

0.62

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Casey DeSmith has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeSmithBobrovsky
Wins (+4)2.002.08
Goals against (-2)-4.73-5.92
Saves (+0.2)4.594.22
Shutouts (+3)0.100.23
OT losses (+1)0.200.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeSmith vs Bobrovsky

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeSmithBobrovsky
7Team record in 15 meetings8

Games against each other

Games between Casey DeSmith and Sergei Bobrovsky
DateScoreDeSmithBobrovsky
2025-12-13DAL 0–4 FLA0/0 SV15/15 SV
2025-11-01DAL 3–4 FLA25/28 SV19/22 SV
2024-11-02DAL 2–4 FLA21/24 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-01DAL 4–6 FLA0/0 SV32/36 SV
2023-12-14VAN 4–0 FLA0/0 SV13/17 SV
2023-10-21VAN 5–3 FLA33/36 SV26/30 SV
2023-03-04PIT 1–4 FLA38/42 SV31/32 SV
2022-12-15PIT 4–2 FLA0/0 SV35/38 SV
2022-03-08PIT 3–4 FLA0/0 SV32/35 SV
2021-11-11PIT 3–2 FLA0/0 SV29/31 SV
2021-10-14PIT 4–5 FLA34/39 SV43/47 SV
2019-03-09PIT 1–4 CBJ0/0 SV28/29 SV

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeSmithBobrovsky

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Casey DeSmith

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B88% to start2.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Sergei Bobrovsky

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT88% to start1.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Casey DeSmith or Sergei Bobrovsky?
In 2025-26, Casey DeSmith posted a .907 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877. Against our expected-goals model, DeSmith saved +5.5 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Casey DeSmith or Sergei Bobrovsky?
On 2025-26 numbers, Casey DeSmith leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeSmith and Bobrovsky done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, DeSmith's team went 7–8.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →