Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Hellebuyck vs Jake Oettinger
In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Jake Oettinger's .899.
Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Oettinger +2.7.
This week Hellebuyck has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Oettinger has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts). We project Hellebuyck for 0.5 ESPN points to Oettinger's 0.3.
Jake Oettinger has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Hellebuyck's biggest edges: Overtime losses 11, Saves 1,385, Games started 57.
Oettinger's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.36, Goals-against average 2.59.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .909 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Hellebuyck
0.98
fantasy points per game
Jake Oettinger
2.39
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Oettinger has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hellebuyck | Oettinger |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.61 | 2.59 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.68 | -5.11 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.86 | 4.57 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hellebuyck vs Oettinger
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hellebuyck | Oettinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | WPG 0–3 DAL | 18/21 SV | 22/22 SV |
| 2026-02-02 | WPG 3–4 DAL | 24/28 SV | 24/27 SV |
| 2025-10-09 | WPG 4–5 DAL | 32/37 SV | 21/25 SV |
| 2025-05-17 · PO | WPG 1–2 DAL | 18/20 SV | 22/23 SV |
| 2025-05-15 · PO | WPG 4–0 DAL | 22/22 SV | 31/34 SV |
| 2025-05-13 · PO | WPG 1–3 DAL | 21/24 SV | 31/32 SV |
| 2025-05-11 · PO | WPG 2–5 DAL | 21/26 SV | 24/26 SV |
| 2025-05-09 · PO | WPG 4–0 DAL | 21/21 SV | 21/24 SV |
| 2025-05-07 · PO | WPG 2–3 DAL | 21/24 SV | 29/31 SV |
| 2025-04-10 | WPG 4–0 DAL | 25/25 SV | 31/35 SV |
| 2025-03-14 | WPG 4–1 DAL | 24/25 SV | 18/22 SV |
| 2024-12-01 | WPG 1–3 DAL | 28/30 SV | 26/27 SV |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Hellebuyck
2games (1 left)
0.5proj. ESPN pts
About 0.2 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET20% to start0.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Jake Oettinger
2games (1 left)
0.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.1 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B12% to start0.3 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Hellebuyck or Jake Oettinger?
- In 2025-26, Connor Hellebuyck posted a .895 save percentage to Jake Oettinger's .899. Against our expected-goals model, Hellebuyck saved +1.1 goals and Oettinger +2.7. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Connor Hellebuyck or Jake Oettinger?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Oettinger leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hellebuyck and Oettinger done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Hellebuyck's team went 7–15.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →