Who to start · 2025-26
Connor Ingram vs Elvis Merzlikins
In 2025-26, Connor Ingram posted a .899 save percentage to Elvis Merzlikins's .883.
Against our expected-goals model, Ingram saved +3.1 goals and Merzlikins −7.7.
This week Ingram has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Merzlikins has 1 left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup.
Connor Ingram has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Ingram's biggest edges: Goals-against average 2.60, Goals saved above expected +3.1, Save % .899.
Merzlikins's biggest edges: High-danger save % .831, Saves 717.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor Ingram
1.76
fantasy points per game
Elvis Merzlikins
0.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor Ingram has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ingram | Merzlikins |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.00 | 1.87 |
| Goals against (-2) | -4.81 | -6.33 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.29 | 4.78 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ingram vs Merzlikins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ingram | Merzlikins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | UTA 3–2 CBJ | 20/22 SV | 30/33 SV |
| 2025-01-31 | UTA 2–3 CBJ | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-03-26 | ARI 6–2 CBJ | 0/0 SV | 29/35 SV |
| 2023-11-16 | ARI 3–2 CBJ | 39/41 SV | 29/32 SV |
| 2023-02-19 | ARI 3–2 CBJ | 34/36 SV | 22/25 SV |
| 2022-10-25 | ARI 6–3 CBJ | 30/33 SV | 5/6 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor Ingram
3games (1 left)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEAOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Elvis Merzlikins
2games (1 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
About 0.0 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to GLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA4% to start0.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor Ingram or Elvis Merzlikins?
- In 2025-26, Connor Ingram posted a .899 save percentage to Elvis Merzlikins's .883. Against our expected-goals model, Ingram saved +3.1 goals and Merzlikins −7.7. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Connor Ingram or Elvis Merzlikins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor Ingram leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ingram and Merzlikins done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Ingram's team went 5–1.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →