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Who to start · 2025-26

Dan Vladar vs Mackenzie Blackwood

In 2025-26, Dan Vladar posted a .906 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903.

Against our expected-goals model, Vladar saved +8.1 goals and Blackwood +5.5.

This week Vladar has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Blackwood has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts). We project Blackwood for 1.7 ESPN points to Vladar's 0.1.

Dan Vladar has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Vladar's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.09, Overtime losses 7, Saves 1,162.

Blackwood's biggest edges: Shutouts 3, Goals against 90.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .816 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .871 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dan Vladar

1.57

fantasy points per game

Mackenzie Blackwood

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mackenzie Blackwood has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVladarBlackwood
Wins (+4)2.092.46
Goals against (-2)-5.24-4.83
Saves (+0.2)4.584.39
Shutouts (+3)0.000.23
OT losses (+1)0.130.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vladar vs Blackwood

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VladarBlackwood
2Team record in 6 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Dan Vladar and Mackenzie Blackwood
DateScoreVladarBlackwood
2025-12-07PHI 2–3 COL0/0 SV23/25 SV
2025-03-31CGY 3–2 COL28/30 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-14CGY 2–4 COL0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-02-06CGY 2–4 COL0/0 SV27/29 SV
2021-03-30BOS 5–4 NJD0/0 SV44/48 SV
2021-03-28BOS 0–1 NJD0/0 SV40/40 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VladarBlackwood

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dan Vladar

3games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR3% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Mackenzie Blackwood

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to GLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL97% to start1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Dan Vladar or Mackenzie Blackwood?
In 2025-26, Dan Vladar posted a .906 save percentage to Mackenzie Blackwood's .903. Against our expected-goals model, Vladar saved +8.1 goals and Blackwood +5.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Dan Vladar or Mackenzie Blackwood?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dan Vladar leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Vladar and Blackwood done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Vladar's team went 2–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →