Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Darcy Kuemper vs John Gibson

In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to John Gibson's .901.

Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Gibson +13.8.

This week Kuemper has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts); Gibson has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Gibson for 1.7 ESPN points to Kuemper's 0.3.

John Gibson has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Kuemper's biggest edges: Overtime losses 15, Goals against 134, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.18.

Gibson's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +13.8, Wins 29, Save % .901.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .724 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .950 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darcy Kuemper

0.27

fantasy points per game

John Gibson

1.95

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Gibson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKuemperGibson
Wins (+4)1.431.91
Goals against (-2)-6.03-4.86
Saves (+0.2)4.394.57
Shutouts (+3)0.180.26
OT losses (+1)0.300.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kuemper vs Gibson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KuemperGibson
16Team record in 24 meetings8

Games against each other

Games between Darcy Kuemper and John Gibson
DateScoreKuemperGibson
2026-01-27LAK 3–1 DET0/0 SV19/21 SV
2025-10-30LAK 3–4 DET24/27 SV0/0 SV
2024-01-16WSH 2–0 ANA24/24 SV26/27 SV
2023-11-30WSH 5–4 ANA28/32 SV21/26 SV
2023-03-01WSH 3–2 ANA21/23 SV36/39 SV
2023-02-23WSH 2–4 ANA0/0 SV41/43 SV
2022-01-19COL 2–0 ANA0/0 SV26/27 SV
2022-01-02COL 4–2 ANA29/31 SV32/35 SV
2021-11-24COL 5–2 ANA5/6 SV31/36 SV
2021-02-24ARI 4–3 ANA18/21 SV0/0 SV
2021-02-22ARI 4–3 ANA25/28 SV21/25 SV
2021-01-28ARI 3–2 ANA14/16 SV31/34 SV

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KuemperGibson

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darcy Kuemper

2games (1 left)

0.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS22% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −3.2 win%vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

John Gibson

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG81% to start1.7 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Darcy Kuemper or John Gibson?
In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to John Gibson's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Gibson +13.8. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Darcy Kuemper or John Gibson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Gibson leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kuemper and Gibson done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Kuemper's team went 16–8.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →