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Who to start · 2025-26

Darcy Kuemper vs Lukas Dostal

In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888.

Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Dostal −3.6.

This week Kuemper has 1 game left (about 0.2 expected starts); Dostal has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). We project Dostal for 1.3 ESPN points to Kuemper's 0.3.

Lukas Dostal has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Kuemper's biggest edges: Shutouts 3, Overtime losses 15, Goals-against average 2.78.

Dostal's biggest edges: Wins 30, Goals saved above expected −3.6, Saves 1,344.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .724 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .900 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Darcy Kuemper

0.27

fantasy points per game

Lukas Dostal

1.13

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Lukas Dostal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKuemperDostal
Wins (+4)1.432.26
Goals against (-2)-6.03-6.03
Saves (+0.2)4.394.84
Shutouts (+3)0.180.00
OT losses (+1)0.300.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kuemper vs Dostal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KuemperDostal
5Team record in 8 meetings3

Games against each other

Games between Darcy Kuemper and Lukas Dostal
DateScoreKuemperDostal
2026-01-17LAK 1–2 ANA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-16LAK 2–3 ANA26/28 SV26/28 SV
2025-04-10LAK 6–1 ANA24/25 SV23/29 SV
2024-01-16WSH 2–0 ANA24/24 SV0/0 SV
2023-11-30WSH 5–4 ANA28/32 SV0/0 SV
2023-03-01WSH 3–2 ANA21/23 SV0/0 SV
2023-02-23WSH 2–4 ANA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2022-01-19COL 2–0 ANA0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KuemperDostal

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Darcy Kuemper

2games (1 left)

0.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.2 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS22% to start0.3 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Lukas Dostal

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to GLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA84% to start1.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Darcy Kuemper or Lukas Dostal?
In 2025-26, Darcy Kuemper posted a .891 save percentage to Lukas Dostal's .888. Against our expected-goals model, Kuemper saved −8.7 goals and Dostal −3.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Darcy Kuemper or Lukas Dostal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Lukas Dostal leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kuemper and Dostal done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Kuemper's team went 5–3.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →