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Who to start · 2025-26

Dustin Wolf vs Karel Vejmelka

In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Karel Vejmelka's .897.

Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Vejmelka +7.0.

This week Wolf has 2 games left (about 1.5 expected starts) with 2 tough matchups; Vejmelka has 2 left (about 1.6 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Vejmelka for 3.3 ESPN points to Wolf's 1.2.

Karel Vejmelka has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Wolf's biggest edges: Save % .899, Goals against 158, High-danger save % .793.

Vejmelka's biggest edges: Wins 38, Goals-against average 2.75, Goals saved above expected +7.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .813 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dustin Wolf

0.66

fantasy points per game

Karel Vejmelka

2.13

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Karel Vejmelka has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWolfVejmelka
Wins (+4)1.512.48
Goals against (-2)-5.95-4.95
Saves (+0.2)4.934.46
Shutouts (+3)0.110.09
OT losses (+1)0.050.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Wolf vs Vejmelka

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WolfVejmelka
3Team record in 7 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Dustin Wolf and Karel Vejmelka
DateScoreWolfVejmelka
2025-12-06CGY 2–0 UTA28/28 SV0/0 SV
2025-10-15CGY 1–3 UTA0/0 SV19/20 SV
2025-04-01CGY 1–3 UTA25/27 SV33/34 SV
2025-01-02CGY 3–5 UTA0/0 SV23/26 SV
2024-10-30CGY 1–5 UTA23/28 SV0/0 SV
2024-04-14CGY 6–5 ARI30/35 SV0/0 SV
2024-01-16CGY 3–2 ARI0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WolfVejmelka

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dustin Wolf

3games (2 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.5 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN89% to start0.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B58% to start0.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Karel Vejmelka

3games (2 left)

3.3proj. ESPN pts

About 1.6 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to GLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ91% to start1.6 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B64% to start1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Dustin Wolf or Karel Vejmelka?
In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Karel Vejmelka's .897. Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Vejmelka +7.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Dustin Wolf or Karel Vejmelka?
On 2025-26 numbers, Karel Vejmelka leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Wolf and Vejmelka done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Wolf's team went 3–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →