Who to start · 2025-26
Juuse Saros vs Karel Vejmelka
In 2025-26, Juuse Saros posted a .893 save percentage to Karel Vejmelka's .897.
Against our expected-goals model, Saros saved −3.4 goals and Vejmelka +7.0.
This week Saros has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts); Vejmelka has 2 left (about 1.5 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Vejmelka for 3.3 ESPN points to Saros's 0.9.
Karel Vejmelka has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Saros's biggest edges: Overtime losses 8, Saves 1,519.
Vejmelka's biggest edges: Shutouts 2, Goals-against average 2.75, Goals saved above expected +7.0.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .900 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Juuse Saros
0.95
fantasy points per game
Karel Vejmelka
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Karel Vejmelka has the edge.
| Points per game from | Saros | Vejmelka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.78 | 2.48 |
| Goals against (-2) | -6.13 | -4.95 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 5.16 | 4.46 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Saros vs Vejmelka
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Saros | Vejmelka |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | NSH 1–4 UTA | 23/27 SV | 29/30 SV |
| 2026-01-24 | NSH 2–5 UTA | 26/30 SV | 27/29 SV |
| 2025-10-11 | NSH 2–3 UTA | 20/23 SV | 21/23 SV |
| 2025-04-14 | NSH 3–7 UTA | 29/35 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-04-10 | NSH 4–3 UTA | 39/42 SV | 28/31 SV |
| 2024-11-09 | NSH 4–0 UTA | 27/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-03-28 | NSH 4–8 ARI | 21/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-02-10 | NSH 5–4 ARI | 27/31 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-01-20 | NSH 2–3 ARI | 21/24 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-11-11 | NSH 5–7 ARI | 18/24 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-02-26 | NSH 6–2 ARI | 25/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-02-13 | NSH 2–4 ARI | 0/0 SV | 29/31 SV |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Juuse Saros
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL84% to start0.9 ptsSchedule edge +12.5 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Karel Vejmelka
3games (2 left)
3.3proj. ESPN pts
About 1.5 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 6th-most FP to GLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ86% to start1.5 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B67% to start1.8 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Juuse Saros or Karel Vejmelka?
- In 2025-26, Juuse Saros posted a .893 save percentage to Karel Vejmelka's .897. Against our expected-goals model, Saros saved −3.4 goals and Vejmelka +7.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Juuse Saros or Karel Vejmelka?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Karel Vejmelka leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Saros and Vejmelka done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Saros's team went 7–8.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →