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Who to start · 2025-26

Dustin Wolf vs Sergei Bobrovsky

In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877.

Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3.

This week Wolf has 2 games left (about 1.5 expected starts) with 2 tough matchups; Bobrovsky has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts). We project Bobrovsky for 1.7 ESPN points to Wolf's 1.2.

Dustin Wolf has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Wolf's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +0.8, Save % .899, Overtime losses 3.

Bobrovsky's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Wins 27, Goals against 154.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .813 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dustin Wolf

0.66

fantasy points per game

Sergei Bobrovsky

0.48

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dustin Wolf has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWolfBobrovsky
Wins (+4)1.511.95
Goals against (-2)-5.95-5.93
Saves (+0.2)4.934.21
Shutouts (+3)0.110.23
OT losses (+1)0.050.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Wolf vs Bobrovsky

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WolfBobrovsky
3Team record in 4 meetings1

Games against each other

Games between Dustin Wolf and Sergei Bobrovsky
DateScoreWolfBobrovsky
2026-03-20CGY 4–1 FLA24/25 SV0/0 SV
2025-11-28CGY 5–3 FLA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-01CGY 0–3 FLA0/0 SV23/23 SV
2024-12-14CGY 3–0 FLA32/32 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WolfBobrovsky

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dustin Wolf

3games (2 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.5 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN89% to start0.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B58% to start0.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Sergei Bobrovsky

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT88% to start1.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Dustin Wolf or Sergei Bobrovsky?
In 2025-26, Dustin Wolf posted a .899 save percentage to Sergei Bobrovsky's .877. Against our expected-goals model, Wolf saved +0.8 goals and Bobrovsky −20.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Dustin Wolf or Sergei Bobrovsky?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dustin Wolf leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Wolf and Bobrovsky done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Wolf's team went 3–1.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →