Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Frederik Andersen vs Joel Hofer

In 2025-26, Frederik Andersen posted a .874 save percentage to Joel Hofer's .910.

Against our expected-goals model, Andersen saved −1.2 goals and Hofer +15.2.

This week Andersen has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Hofer has 1 left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Andersen for 0.2 ESPN points to Hofer's 0.0.

Joel Hofer has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Andersen's biggest edges: High-danger save % .797, Goals against 107.

Hofer's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +2.70, Save % .910, Shutouts 6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Frederik Andersen

0.10

fantasy points per game

Joel Hofer

2.57

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Joel Hofer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAndersenHofer
Wins (+4)1.832.09
Goals against (-2)-6.11-4.96
Saves (+0.2)4.244.94
Shutouts (+3)0.000.39
OT losses (+1)0.140.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Andersen vs Hofer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AndersenHofer
2Team record in 5 meetings3

Games against each other

Games between Frederik Andersen and Joel Hofer
DateScoreAndersenHofer
2026-03-12CAR 1–3 STL0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-13CAR 0–3 STL0/0 SV33/33 SV
2024-10-19CAR 3–4 STL0/0 SV37/40 SV
2024-04-12CAR 5–2 STL29/31 SV0/0 SV
2021-11-13CAR 3–2 STL0/0 SV21/24 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AndersenHofer

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Frederik Andersen

3games (1 left)

0.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to GLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B8% to start0.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Joel Hofer

2games (1 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B3% to start0.0 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Frederik Andersen or Joel Hofer?
In 2025-26, Frederik Andersen posted a .874 save percentage to Joel Hofer's .910. Against our expected-goals model, Andersen saved −1.2 goals and Hofer +15.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Frederik Andersen or Joel Hofer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Joel Hofer leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Andersen and Hofer done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Andersen's team went 2–3.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →