Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Igor Shesterkin vs John Gibson

In 2025-26, Igor Shesterkin posted a .912 save percentage to John Gibson's .901.

Against our expected-goals model, Shesterkin saved +18.8 goals and Gibson +13.8.

This week Shesterkin has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Gibson has 1 left (about 0.8 expected starts). We project Shesterkin for 1.5 ESPN points to Gibson's 1.4.

Igor Shesterkin has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Shesterkin's biggest edges: High-danger save % .843, Save % .912, Overtime losses 6.

Gibson's biggest edges: Shutouts 5, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.10, Wins 29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 W, .936 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .950 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Igor Shesterkin

2.44

fantasy points per game

John Gibson

1.95

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Igor Shesterkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromShesterkinGibson
Wins (+4)1.971.91
Goals against (-2)-4.71-4.86
Saves (+0.2)5.014.57
Shutouts (+3)0.060.26
OT losses (+1)0.120.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Shesterkin vs Gibson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ShesterkinGibson
7Team record in 10 meetings3

Games against each other

Games between Igor Shesterkin and John Gibson
DateScoreShesterkinGibson
2026-10-02NYR 2–0 DET0/0 SV19/20 SV
2026-04-04NYR 4–1 DET0/0 SV16/19 SV
2025-11-16NYR 1–2 DET0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-11-07NYR 4–1 DET0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-28NYR 4–5 ANA28/33 SV0/0 SV
2024-01-21NYR 5–2 ANA16/18 SV0/0 SV
2023-12-15NYR 5–1 ANA0/0 SV0/0 SV
2022-11-23NYR 2–3 ANA0/0 SV41/43 SV
2022-10-17NYR 6–4 ANA18/22 SV29/34 SV
2022-03-15NYR 4–3 ANA0/0 SV34/38 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ShesterkinGibson

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Igor Shesterkin

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to GLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA81% to start1.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

John Gibson

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG81% to start1.4 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Igor Shesterkin or John Gibson?
In 2025-26, Igor Shesterkin posted a .912 save percentage to John Gibson's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Shesterkin saved +18.8 goals and Gibson +13.8. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Igor Shesterkin or John Gibson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Igor Shesterkin leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Shesterkin and Gibson done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Shesterkin's team went 7–3.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →