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Who to start · 2025-26

Ilya Sorokin vs Jakub Dobes

In 2025-26, Ilya Sorokin posted a .906 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901.

Against our expected-goals model, Sorokin saved +24.4 goals and Dobes +11.6.

This week Sorokin has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Dobes has 1 left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Sorokin for 2.2 ESPN points to Dobes's 1.5.

Ilya Sorokin has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Sorokin's biggest edges: Shutouts 7, High-danger save % .864, Saves 1,386.

Dobes's biggest edges: Overtime losses 4, Goals against 117, Rebounds prevented /100 −0.98.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .923 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .929 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ilya Sorokin

2.26

fantasy points per game

Jakub Dobes

2.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jakub Dobes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSorokinDobes
Wins (+4)1.982.78
Goals against (-2)-5.16-5.35
Saves (+0.2)5.034.99
Shutouts (+3)0.380.00
OT losses (+1)0.040.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sorokin vs Dobes

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SorokinDobes
2Team record in 4 meetings2

Games against each other

Games between Ilya Sorokin and Jakub Dobes
DateScoreSorokinDobes
2026-04-12NYI 1–4 MTL18/22 SV0/0 SV
2026-03-21NYI 3–7 MTL26/32 SV0/0 SV
2026-02-26NYI 4–3 MTL22/25 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-20NYI 4–3 MTL38/41 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SorokinDobes

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ilya Sorokin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD97% to start2.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Jakub Dobes

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT97% to start1.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to Gvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Ilya Sorokin or Jakub Dobes?
In 2025-26, Ilya Sorokin posted a .906 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Sorokin saved +24.4 goals and Dobes +11.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Ilya Sorokin or Jakub Dobes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ilya Sorokin leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sorokin and Dobes done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Sorokin's team went 2–2.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →