Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jacob Markstrom vs Jet Greaves

In 2025-26, Jacob Markstrom posted a .883 save percentage to Jet Greaves's .908.

Against our expected-goals model, Markstrom saved −13.7 goals and Greaves +13.9.

This week Markstrom has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Greaves has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Greaves for 1.5 ESPN points to Markstrom's 1.1.

Jet Greaves has the better number in 10 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Markstrom's biggest edges: Goals against 130.

Greaves's biggest edges: Overtime losses 9, Goals saved above expected +13.9, Save % .908.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .885 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jacob Markstrom

1.14

fantasy points per game

Jet Greaves

2.13

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jet Greaves has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarkstromGreaves
Wins (+4)2.212.02
Goals against (-2)-5.54-5.22
Saves (+0.2)4.385.05
Shutouts (+3)0.070.11
OT losses (+1)0.020.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Markstrom vs Greaves

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarkstromGreaves
3Team record in 5 meetings2

Games against each other

Games between Jacob Markstrom and Jet Greaves
DateScoreMarkstromGreaves
2026-02-03NJD 0–3 CBJ23/25 SV0/0 SV
2025-12-31NJD 3–2 CBJ0/0 SV30/33 SV
2025-12-01NJD 3–5 CBJ0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-10-13NJD 3–2 CBJ8/9 SV25/27 SV
2025-03-17NJD 2–1 CBJ0/0 SV18/20 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarkstromGreaves

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jacob Markstrom

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.8 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA76% to start1.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Jet Greaves

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to GLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA90% to start1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Jacob Markstrom or Jet Greaves?
In 2025-26, Jacob Markstrom posted a .883 save percentage to Jet Greaves's .908. Against our expected-goals model, Markstrom saved −13.7 goals and Greaves +13.9. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jacob Markstrom or Jet Greaves?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jet Greaves leads in 10 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Markstrom and Greaves done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Markstrom's team went 3–2.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →