Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Allen vs Juuse Saros

In 2025-26, Jake Allen posted a .904 save percentage to Juuse Saros's .893.

Against our expected-goals model, Allen saved +9.9 goals and Saros −3.4.

This week Allen has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Saros has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts). We project Allen for 2.0 ESPN points to Saros's 1.0.

Jake Allen has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Allen's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +9.9, Goals against 100, Goals-against average 2.74.

Saros's biggest edges: Overtime losses 8, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.15, Saves 1,519.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .920 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .900 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Allen

1.80

fantasy points per game

Juuse Saros

0.95

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Allen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAllenSaros
Wins (+4)1.971.78
Goals against (-2)-5.32-6.13
Saves (+0.2)5.015.16
Shutouts (+3)0.080.00
OT losses (+1)0.050.14

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Allen vs Saros

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AllenSaros
9Team record in 22 meetings13

Games against each other

Games between Jake Allen and Juuse Saros
DateScoreAllenSaros
2026-03-26NJD 4–2 NSH0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-29NJD 3–2 NSH0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-02-23NJD 5–0 NSH0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-25NJD 5–2 NSH0/0 SV26/30 SV
2024-04-07NJD 2–3 NSH29/30 SV23/25 SV
2024-03-05MTL 4–3 NSH25/28 SV26/30 SV
2023-12-10MTL 1–2 NSH30/32 SV36/37 SV
2023-01-03MTL 3–6 NSH0/0 SV24/27 SV
2021-12-04MTL 3–4 NSH40/44 SV20/23 SV
2020-02-16STL 1–2 NSH0/0 SV0/0 SV
2020-02-15STL 3–4 NSH23/27 SV23/26 SV
2019-11-25STL 2–3 NSH37/39 SV23/25 SV

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AllenSaros

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Allen

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI87% to start2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to Gvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Juuse Saros

2games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL90% to start1.0 pts
    Schedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Allen or Juuse Saros?
In 2025-26, Jake Allen posted a .904 save percentage to Juuse Saros's .893. Against our expected-goals model, Allen saved +9.9 goals and Saros −3.4. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Jake Allen or Juuse Saros?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Allen leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Allen and Saros done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Allen's team went 9–13.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →