Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Oettinger vs Jakub Dobes
In 2025-26, Jake Oettinger posted a .899 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901.
Against our expected-goals model, Oettinger saved +2.7 goals and Dobes +11.6.
This week Oettinger has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts); Dobes has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobes for 1.4 ESPN points to Oettinger's 0.3.
Jake Oettinger has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Oettinger's biggest edges: Shutouts 4, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.36, Goals-against average 2.59.
Dobes's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +11.6, Goals against 117, Save % .901.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .909 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .929 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Oettinger
2.26
fantasy points per game
Jakub Dobes
2.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jakub Dobes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Oettinger | Dobes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.43 | 2.78 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.04 | -5.35 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.53 | 4.99 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.22 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Oettinger vs Dobes
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Oettinger | Dobes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | DAL 7–0 MTL | 0/0 SV | 8/13 SV |
| 2025-01-16 | DAL 1–3 MTL | 21/23 SV | 32/33 SV |
| 2025-01-11 | DAL 2–1 MTL | 30/31 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Oettinger
2games (1 left)
0.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.1 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B12% to start0.3 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Jakub Dobes
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
About 0.9 expected starts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT89% to start1.4 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Oettinger or Jakub Dobes?
- In 2025-26, Jake Oettinger posted a .899 save percentage to Jakub Dobes's .901. Against our expected-goals model, Oettinger saved +2.7 goals and Dobes +11.6. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Jake Oettinger or Jakub Dobes?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Oettinger leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Oettinger and Dobes done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Oettinger's team went 2–1.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →