Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Oettinger vs Logan Thompson
In 2025-26, Jake Oettinger posted a .899 save percentage to Logan Thompson's .912.
Against our expected-goals model, Oettinger saved +2.7 goals and Thompson +32.2.
This week Oettinger has 1 game left (about 0.1 expected starts); Thompson has 1 left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Oettinger for 0.3 ESPN points to Thompson's 0.1.
Logan Thompson has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Oettinger's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +0.36, Wins 35, Goals against 138.
Thompson's biggest edges: Goals saved above expected +32.2, Save % .912, Saves 1,447.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .909 SV%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .939 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Oettinger
2.26
fantasy points per game
Logan Thompson
2.85
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Logan Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Oettinger | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.43 | 2.25 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.04 | -4.78 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.53 | 5.07 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Oettinger vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Oettinger | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | DAL 4–1 WSH | 0/0 SV | 32/35 SV |
| 2025-10-28 | DAL 1–0 WSH | 24/24 SV | 18/19 SV |
| 2024-12-16 | DAL 3–1 WSH | 25/26 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-10-17 | DAL 2–3 WSH | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | DAL 2–1 VGK | 22/23 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-05-03 · PO | DAL 0–2 VGK | 28/29 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-05-01 · PO | DAL 3–2 VGK | 25/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-04-29 · PO | DAL 4–2 VGK | 32/34 SV | 28/31 SV |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | DAL 3–2 VGK | 32/34 SV | 43/46 SV |
| 2024-04-24 · PO | DAL 1–3 VGK | 23/25 SV | 20/21 SV |
| 2024-04-22 · PO | DAL 3–4 VGK | 11/15 SV | 26/29 SV |
| 2023-12-09 | DAL 1–6 VGK | 21/27 SV | 19/20 SV |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Oettinger
2games (1 left)
0.3proj. ESPN pts
About 0.1 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B12% to start0.3 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to GSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Logan Thompson
2games (1 left)
0.1proj. ESPN pts
About 0.0 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 5th-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B3% to start0.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to GSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Oettinger or Logan Thompson?
- In 2025-26, Jake Oettinger posted a .899 save percentage to Logan Thompson's .912. Against our expected-goals model, Oettinger saved +2.7 goals and Thompson +32.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Jake Oettinger or Logan Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Logan Thompson leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Oettinger and Thompson done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Oettinger's team went 9–7.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →