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Who to start · 2025-26

Joel Hofer vs Joonas Korpisalo

In 2025-26, Joel Hofer posted a .910 save percentage to Joonas Korpisalo's .894.

Against our expected-goals model, Hofer saved +15.2 goals and Korpisalo −4.8.

This week Hofer has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Korpisalo has 1 left (about 0.1 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Hofer for 0.1 ESPN points to Korpisalo's 0.1.

Joel Hofer has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Hofer's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +2.70, Goals saved above expected +15.2, Goals-against average 2.61.

Korpisalo's biggest edges: High-danger save % .839, Goals against 90, Overtime losses 6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Joel Hofer

2.57

fantasy points per game

Joonas Korpisalo

1.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Joel Hofer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHoferKorpisalo
Wins (+4)2.091.81
Goals against (-2)-4.96-5.81
Saves (+0.2)4.944.91
Shutouts (+3)0.390.10
OT losses (+1)0.110.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hofer vs Korpisalo

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HoferKorpisalo
3Team record in 7 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Joel Hofer and Joonas Korpisalo
DateScoreHoferKorpisalo
2025-12-09STL 2–5 BOS26/30 SV0/0 SV
2025-12-04STL 2–5 BOS0/0 SV37/39 SV
2024-11-16STL 3–2 BOS0/0 SV28/31 SV
2024-11-12STL 2–3 BOS0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-03-21STL 5–2 OTT37/39 SV0/0 SV
2023-12-14STL 4–2 OTT0/0 SV26/30 SV
2023-03-26STL 6–7 LAK12/17 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HoferKorpisalo

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Joel Hofer

2games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows the most FP to GLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B3% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Joonas Korpisalo

4games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.1 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to GLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA10% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Joel Hofer or Joonas Korpisalo?
In 2025-26, Joel Hofer posted a .910 save percentage to Joonas Korpisalo's .894. Against our expected-goals model, Hofer saved +15.2 goals and Korpisalo −4.8. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Joel Hofer or Joonas Korpisalo?
On 2025-26 numbers, Joel Hofer leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hofer and Korpisalo done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Hofer's team went 3–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →