Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Joel Hofer vs Logan Thompson

In 2025-26, Joel Hofer posted a .910 save percentage to Logan Thompson's .912.

Against our expected-goals model, Hofer saved +15.2 goals and Thompson +32.2.

This week Hofer has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Thompson has 1 left (about 0.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 0.1 ESPN points to Hofer's 0.0.

Logan Thompson has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Hofer's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +2.70, Goals against 114, Shutouts 6.

Thompson's biggest edges: High-danger save % .832, Saves 1,447, Wins 31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .939 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Joel Hofer

3.01

fantasy points per game

Logan Thompson

2.85

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Joel Hofer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHoferThompson
Wins (+4)2.212.25
Goals against (-2)-4.65-4.78
Saves (+0.2)4.955.07
Shutouts (+3)0.390.21
OT losses (+1)0.110.10

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hofer vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HoferThompson
3Team record in 7 meetings4

Games against each other

Games between Joel Hofer and Logan Thompson
DateScoreHoferThompson
2026-03-24STL 3–0 WSH21/21 SV24/26 SV
2025-11-05STL 1–6 WSH15/17 SV23/24 SV
2025-02-27STL 5–2 WSH16/18 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-09STL 1–8 WSH0/0 SV24/25 SV
2024-03-25STL 1–2 VGK0/0 SV31/32 SV
2023-12-06STL 3–6 VGK0/0 SV26/29 SV
2023-12-04STL 2–1 VGK0/0 SV25/27 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HoferThompson

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Joel Hofer

2games (1 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B3% to start0.0 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to GSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Logan Thompson

2games (1 left)

0.1proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to GLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B3% to start0.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to GSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Joel Hofer or Logan Thompson?
In 2025-26, Joel Hofer posted a .910 save percentage to Logan Thompson's .912. Against our expected-goals model, Hofer saved +15.2 goals and Thompson +32.2. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Joel Hofer or Logan Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Logan Thompson leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hofer and Thompson done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Hofer's team went 3–4.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →