Who to start · 2025-26
John Gibson vs Philipp Grubauer
In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909.
Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Grubauer +8.5.
This week Gibson has 1 game left (about 0.8 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Grubauer has 2 left (about 0.5 expected starts) with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Gibson for 1.7 ESPN points to Grubauer's 1.0.
John Gibson has the better number in 7 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Gibson's biggest edges: Shutouts 5, Wins 29, Games started 57.
Grubauer's biggest edges: Goals against 79, Save % .909, Goals-against average 2.65.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .950 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Gibson
1.94
fantasy points per game
Philipp Grubauer
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Gibson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Gibson | Grubauer |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.04 | 1.63 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.05 | -4.94 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.62 | 4.92 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.26 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Gibson vs Grubauer
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Gibson | Grubauer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | DET 4–3 SEA | 24/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-11-18 | DET 4–2 SEA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2025-01-28 | ANA 6–4 SEA | 0/0 SV | 17/22 SV |
| 2024-11-27 | ANA 5–2 SEA | 42/44 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-11-25 | ANA 2–3 SEA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-03-28 | ANA 2–4 SEA | 0/0 SV | 21/23 SV |
| 2024-03-26 | ANA 0–4 SEA | 32/36 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-03-30 | ANA 1–4 SEA | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-03-07 | ANA 2–5 SEA | 26/30 SV | 20/22 SV |
| 2022-11-27 | ANA 4–5 SEA | 14/19 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2022-10-12 | ANA 5–4 SEA | 44/48 SV | 22/27 SV |
| 2022-02-11 | ANA 3–4 SEA | 23/27 SV | 0/0 SV |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Gibson
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
About 0.8 expected starts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG81% to start1.7 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to GLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Philipp Grubauer
3games (2 left)
1.0proj. ESPN pts
About 0.5 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM11% to start0.1 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B43% to start0.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Gibson or Philipp Grubauer?
- In 2025-26, John Gibson posted a .901 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909. Against our expected-goals model, Gibson saved +13.8 goals and Grubauer +8.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, John Gibson or Philipp Grubauer?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Gibson leads in 7 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Gibson and Grubauer done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Gibson's team went 12–11.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →