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Who to start · 2025-26

Joseph Woll vs Samuel Ersson

In 2025-26, Joseph Woll posted a .899 save percentage to Samuel Ersson's .870.

Against our expected-goals model, Woll saved −0.5 goals and Ersson −13.0.

This week Woll has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Ersson has 1 left (about 0.0 expected starts). We project Woll for 1.9 ESPN points to Ersson's 0.0.

Joseph Woll has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Woll's biggest edges: Save % .899, Shutouts 2, Saves 1,097.

Ersson's biggest edges: Goals against 97, Goals-against average 3.12.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .932 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Joseph Woll

1.14

fantasy points per game

Samuel Ersson

-0.11

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Joseph Woll has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWollErsson
Wins (+4)1.541.70
Goals against (-2)-6.36-5.88
Saves (+0.2)5.633.92
Shutouts (+3)0.150.00
OT losses (+1)0.180.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Woll vs Ersson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WollErsson
3Team record in 4 meetings1

Games against each other

Games between Joseph Woll and Samuel Ersson
DateScoreWollErsson
2026-03-02TOR 2–3 PHI0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-08TOR 2–1 PHI0/0 SV0/0 SV
2025-03-25TOR 7–2 PHI0/0 SV23/30 SV
2024-03-14TOR 6–2 PHI0/0 SV9/12 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WollErsson

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Joseph Woll

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR97% to start1.9 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Samuel Ersson

1games

0.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR2% to start0.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

FAQ

Should I start Joseph Woll or Samuel Ersson?
In 2025-26, Joseph Woll posted a .899 save percentage to Samuel Ersson's .870. Against our expected-goals model, Woll saved −0.5 goals and Ersson −13.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Joseph Woll or Samuel Ersson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Joseph Woll leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Woll and Ersson done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Woll's team went 3–1.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →