Who to start · 2025-26
Juuse Saros vs Philipp Grubauer
In 2025-26, Juuse Saros posted a .893 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909.
Against our expected-goals model, Saros saved −3.4 goals and Grubauer +8.5.
This week Saros has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Grubauer has 2 left (about 0.5 expected starts) with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Saros for 1.2 ESPN points to Grubauer's 1.0.
They split the 11 stats both are ranked on 5–5.
Saros's biggest edges: Saves 1,519, Wins 28, Games started 59.
Grubauer's biggest edges: Goals against 79, Goals-against average 2.65, Goals saved above expected +8.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .900 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Juuse Saros
1.05
fantasy points per game
Philipp Grubauer
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Philipp Grubauer has the edge.
| Points per game from | Saros | Grubauer |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 1.90 | 1.63 |
| Goals against (-2) | -6.14 | -4.94 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 5.15 | 4.92 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Saros vs Grubauer
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Saros | Grubauer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | NSH 4–2 SEA | 43/45 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2026-01-01 | NSH 1–4 SEA | 19/22 SV | 24/25 SV |
| 2025-03-06 | NSH 5–3 SEA | 22/25 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-11-20 | NSH 0–3 SEA | 34/36 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-10-15 | NSH 3–7 SEA | 28/34 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2024-03-16 | NSH 4–1 SEA | 23/24 SV | 26/29 SV |
| 2023-11-02 | NSH 2–4 SEA | 27/31 SV | 32/34 SV |
| 2023-10-12 | NSH 3–0 SEA | 23/23 SV | 32/34 SV |
| 2023-03-25 | NSH 2–7 SEA | 32/39 SV | 14/16 SV |
| 2022-03-02 | NSH 3–4 SEA | 27/31 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2022-01-25 | NSH 4–2 SEA | 33/35 SV | 23/27 SV |
| 2021-10-14 | NSH 3–4 SEA | 22/25 SV | 27/30 SV |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Juuse Saros
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
About 0.9 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL90% to start1.2 ptsOpp allows the most FP to GSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Philipp Grubauer
3games (2 left)
1.0proj. ESPN pts
About 0.5 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM11% to start0.1 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B43% to start0.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to GLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Juuse Saros or Philipp Grubauer?
- In 2025-26, Juuse Saros posted a .893 save percentage to Philipp Grubauer's .909. Against our expected-goals model, Saros saved −3.4 goals and Grubauer +8.5. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Juuse Saros or Philipp Grubauer?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 5–5 across 11 stats where both qualify.
- How have Saros and Grubauer done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Saros's team went 9–9.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →