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Who to start · 2025-26

Sergei Bobrovsky vs Tristan Jarry

In 2025-26, Sergei Bobrovsky posted a .877 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882.

Against our expected-goals model, Bobrovsky saved −20.3 goals and Jarry −4.0.

This week Bobrovsky has 1 game left (about 0.9 expected starts); Jarry has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Bobrovsky for 1.7 ESPN points to Jarry's 0.4.

Tristan Jarry has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Bobrovsky's biggest edges: Games started 51, Saves 1,096, Wins 27.

Jarry's biggest edges: High-danger save % .825, Overtime losses 3, Goals against 98.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .875 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .739 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sergei Bobrovsky

0.48

fantasy points per game

Tristan Jarry

0.38

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sergei Bobrovsky has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBobrovskyJarry
Wins (+4)1.952.05
Goals against (-2)-5.93-6.32
Saves (+0.2)4.214.38
Shutouts (+3)0.230.18
OT losses (+1)0.020.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bobrovsky vs Jarry

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BobrovskyJarry
11Team record in 19 meetings8

Games against each other

Games between Sergei Bobrovsky and Tristan Jarry
DateScoreBobrovskyJarry
2026-03-19FLA 4–0 EDM21/21 SV0/0 SV
2025-10-23FLA 3–5 PIT12/17 SV34/37 SV
2025-03-23FLA 4–3 PIT24/27 SV28/31 SV
2025-01-03FLA 3–2 PIT0/0 SV31/33 SV
2024-02-14FLA 5–2 PIT25/27 SV18/23 SV
2024-01-26FLA 3–2 PIT35/37 SV0/0 SV
2023-12-08FLA 3–1 PIT25/26 SV30/32 SV
2023-03-04FLA 4–1 PIT31/32 SV0/0 SV
2022-12-15FLA 2–4 PIT35/38 SV32/34 SV
2022-03-08FLA 4–3 PIT32/35 SV25/29 SV
2021-11-11FLA 2–3 PIT29/31 SV36/38 SV
2021-10-14FLA 5–4 PIT43/47 SV0/0 SV

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BobrovskyJarry

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sergei Bobrovsky

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT88% to start1.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Tristan Jarry

3games (1 left)

0.4proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA86% to start0.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Sergei Bobrovsky or Tristan Jarry?
In 2025-26, Sergei Bobrovsky posted a .877 save percentage to Tristan Jarry's .882. Against our expected-goals model, Bobrovsky saved −20.3 goals and Jarry −4.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Sergei Bobrovsky or Tristan Jarry?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tristan Jarry leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bobrovsky and Jarry done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Bobrovsky's team went 11–8.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →