Vegas Golden Knights vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 1, 2019

FinalFriday, Feb 1, 2019· PNC Arena

away

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

2

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
VGK	1	1	0	2		VGK	6	13	6	25
CAR	1	2	2	5		CAR	10	15	7	32

: VGK 49CAR 63
: VGK 2.18CAR 3.30
PP goals: VGK 1CAR 0
Hits: VGK 38CAR 24
Blocks: VGK 17CAR 16
PIM: VGK 6CAR 4
: VGK 61%CAR 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Vegas Golden Knights 5–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Vegas Golden Knights 5–2 at home. Shea Theodore (VGK) led the scoring with 2G 0A. VGK's first power-play unit (Stastny, Pacioretty, Schmidt, Theodore and Tuch) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:03 together.

Points
Shea Theodore had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:31.Theodore
Points
Justin Faulk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:30.Faulk
Points
Justin Williams had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:30.Williams
PP1
VGK's first power-play unit (Stastny, Pacioretty, Schmidt, Theodore and Tuch) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:03 together.Stastny Pacioretty Schmidt Theodore Tuch
New line
New look for VGK: Pirri–Eakin–Zykov skated 7:41 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pirri Eakin Zykov
New line
New look for VGK: Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault skated 9:29 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (37% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith Karlsson Marchessault
Luck
CAR scored 5 goals on 3.30 expected goals (63 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Reilly Smith (VGK) played 15:16, −3:03 down on his 18:19 season average over 73 games.Smith

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← VGK attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
VGK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · CAR 63 · VGK 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
VGK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
VGK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: VGK 18% of the game, CAR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

VGK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	VGK	CAR
	49	65
	1.92	2.75
	1.90	2.72
	12	10
	7	6
	23	17
	+0.098	−0.099
	18%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Vegas Golden Knights

L1Stastny – Pacioretty – Tuch
11:0753% CF
L2Reaves – Bellemare – Nosek
9:3141% CF
L3Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault
9:2937% CF
L4Pirri – Eakin – Zykov
7:4157% CF
D1Engelland – Theodore
17:3650% CF
D2Merrill – Miller
14:4948% CF
D3McNabb – Schmidt
14:0531% CF

PP1Stastny – Pacioretty – Schmidt – Theodore – Tuch
2:03100% CF
PP2Smith – Pirri – Karlsson – Miller – Marchessault
0:59100% CF
PK1FSmith – Karlsson
1:56
PK2FBellemare – Nosek
1:52
PK1DEngelland – McNabb
3:01
PK2DMerrill – Schmidt
1:51

Current VGK line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
11:4966% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Svechnikov
11:0750% CF
L3Ferland – Teravainen – Wallmark
10:4957% CF
L4McKegg – Maenalanen – Foegele
9:3730% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
15:4266% CF
D2Faulk – Pesce
13:1847% CF
D3de Haan – van Riemsdyk
12:2865% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
3:3280% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
2:0850% CF
PK1FMartinook – McGinn
1:34
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:27
PK1Dde Haan – Faulk
1:14
PK2DPesce – van Riemsdyk
0:38

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:01
VGKShea TheodorePP (Nate Schmidt, Paul Stastny)slap0.08 xG
VGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, Schmidt, Theodore, TuchCAR: de Haan, Teravainen, van Riemsdyk, Aho
VGK 1 – 0 CAR
11:13
CARNino Niederreiter (Justin Williams, Justin Faulk)snap0.15 xG
VGK: McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, SchmidtCAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Pesce, Aho
VGK 1 – 1 CAR

2nd period

0:47
CARBrett Pescesnap0.11 xG
VGK: McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, SchmidtCAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Pesce, Aho
VGK 1 – 2 CAR
17:47
VGKShea Theodore (Ryan Reaves)snap0.01 xG
VGK: Engelland, Reaves, Theodore, Bellemare, NosekCAR: Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Wallmark
VGK 2 – 2 CAR
18:23
CARJordan Martinook (Brock McGinn)snap0.13 xG
VGK: Stastny, Pacioretty, Merrill, Miller, TuchCAR: Faulk, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce, Svechnikov
VGK 2 – 3 CAR

3rd period

3:51
CARSebastian Aho (Justin Williams, Jaccob Slavin)backhand0.03 xG
VGK: Reaves, McNabb, Schmidt, Bellemare, NosekCAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Slavin, Aho
VGK 2 – 4 CAR
19:10
CARJustin FaulkENwrist0.42 xG
VGK: Pirri, Eakin, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault, TheodoreCAR: Faulk, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce, Svechnikov
VGK 2 – 5 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Vegas Golden Knights

VGK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.11	2	0	0	16:15	—	—	46	44
Paul Stastny C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	1	0	2	15:35	—	—	40	28
Max Pacioretty L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	2	2	0	15:17	—	—	50	47
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:37	—	—	33	20
Tomas Nosek L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	2	2	0	13:24	—	—	37	46
Ryan Reaves R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	7	1	0	10:48	—	—	41	50
William Karlsson C	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.05	0	1	0	18:17	—	—	46	28
Jonathan Marchessault R	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.35	3	0	0	16:15	—	—	46	28
Reilly Smith R	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	2	1	2	15:16	—	—	33	26
Brandon Pirri C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.44	1	0	0	13:38	—	—	44	72
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	13:23	—	—	42	48
Valentin Zykov L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	1	0	0	12:32	—	—	62	83
Shea Theodore D	D1	2	0	2	0	3	0.17	0	1	0	22:31	—	—	54	78
Deryk Engelland D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.38	5	2	0	21:31	—	—	50	78
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	2	18:28	—	—	48	30
Jon Merrill D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	18:13	—	—	52	33
Nate Schmidt D	D3	0	1	1	-3	0	0.00	0	1	0	20:30	—	—	33	29
Brayden McNabb D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	2	3	0	17:59	—	—	31	27

VGK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Maxime Lagace(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	2.88	59:31

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	+3	5	0.49	1	1	0	19:31	—	—	62	69
Justin Williams R	L1	0	2	2	+3	3	0.34	1	0	2	17:30	—	—	63	75
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	1	0	1	+3	5	0.80	0	1	0	17:17	—	—	62	73
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.26	1	0	0	16:42	—	—	59	62
Jordan Martinook L	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	1	1	0	14:49	—	—	59	44
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:19	—	—	57	44
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	0	0	0	17:58	—	—	56	38
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	6	0	0	15:02	—	—	65	53
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:45	—	—	65	78
Greg McKegg C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:14	—	—	31	23
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:11	—	—	33	7
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	10:52	—	—	25	6
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	2	2	21:50	—	—	63	67
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	4	0	0	18:57	—	—	70	70
Justin Faulk D	D2	1	1	2	+5	2	0.58	1	2	0	21:30	—	—	51	70
Brett Pesce D	D2	1	0	1	+4	5	0.15	1	3	0	19:35	—	—	45	60
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	2	0	19:06	—	—	54	40
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	15:43	—	—	60	35

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	25	23	2	.920	2.18	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.