Vegas Golden Knights at New York IslandersMar 4, 2027

Time TBDThursday, Mar 4, 2027

away

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

at

home

New York IslandersNYI

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: NYI +2.2 pts

VGKaway−2.1 pts

1 day rest · 152 km travel

Backup likely (51%) −2.1 pts
1 day rest vs 2 days rest

NYIhome+2.2 pts

2 days rest

VGK backup likely (51%) +2.2 pts
2 days rest vs 1 day rest

NYI has the schedule edge (+2.2 pts net win probability): vgk backup likely (51%), backup likely (51%).

· Every game this week →

Vegas Golden Knights

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Carter Hart49%
Adin Hill31%
Carl Lindbom20%
Schedule: Rested · plays again tomorrow
Last game: W 5–2 vs CHI · Sep 29

L1Karlsson – Marner – Howden
12:18
L2Stone – Barbashev – Eichel
11:01
L3Hertl – Olofsson – Connelly
8:37
L4Dowd – Gatcomb – Bowman
6:34
D1Andersson – Wotherspoon
15:38
D2Hanifin – Lauzon
15:09
D3McNabb – Theodore
14:38
PP1Stone – Hertl – Theodore – Eichel – Marner
3:31

Projected VGK lines →·VGK goalies →·Goalie start planner →

New York Islanders

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Ilya Sorokin97%
Semyon Varlamov3%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 1–2 at TOR · Sep 30

L1Palmieri – Horvat – Holmstrom
7:16
L2Pageau – Heineman – Eklund
4:50
L3Schenn – Maccelli – Ritchie
4:40
L4Cizikas – Palat – Duclair
4:40
D1Pelech – Schaefer
9:56
D2Pulock – Romanov
9:41
D3DeAngelo – Stanley
5:26
PP1Palmieri – Schenn – Horvat – Maccelli – Schaefer
5:08

Projected NYI lines →·NYI goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Mar 4.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.