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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws)

Name: Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws) (2023-24)
Creator: Edgehalla

2023-24All situationsThrough 82 team games

Not every faceoff is worth the same. Winning a 5-on-5 draw in either end zone is worth about +0.019 net expected goals over the next 20 seconds; a neutral-zone win is worth about +0.007. Draw Equity adds up (win − 0.5) × that value for every draw a player takes.

This board ranks Draw Equity per 100 draws, so a centre who takes 1,500 draws is not rewarded just for volume. The total column is the season value in goals.

Leader in 2023-24: Michael McLeod (NJD), +0.177 DrEq/100.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Strength5-on-5 All situations

165 qualified

Show

Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws), 2023-24, All situations
#	Player	Team		Draws			OZ+DZ draws
1	Michael McLeodFNJD	NJD	+0.177	652	+1.15	65.0%	447	—
2	Jeff CarterFPIT	PIT	+0.155	424	+0.66	62.5%	346	—
3	Jamie BennFDAL	DAL	+0.138	712	+0.99	61.2%	560	22%▲18
4	Nico SturmFSJS	SJS	+0.126	827	+1.04	60.1%	594	0.1%
5	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	+0.114	1,352	+1.55	59.3%	981	96%▲9.3
6	Claude GirouxFOTT	OTT	+0.108	1,152	+1.25	58.0%	908	30%▲20
7	Vincent TrocheckFNYR	NYR	+0.106	1,500	+1.58	58.7%	1,146	88%▼5.4
8	Sidney CrosbyFPIT	PIT	+0.105	1,872	+1.97	58.2%	1,283	100%▲2.4
9	Elias LindholmFCGY/VAN	CGY/VAN	+0.094	1,336	+1.25	56.4%	1,040	43%▲4.7
10	Aleksander BarkovFFLA	FLA	+0.093	1,100	+1.03	57.3%	718	97%▲7
11	Tomas HertlFSJS/VGK	SJS/VGK	+0.090	983	+0.88	57.5%	729	84%▲3.2
12	Jordan StaalFCAR	CAR	+0.089	1,375	+1.22	58.1%	889	20%▲13
13	Christian DvorakFMTL	MTL	+0.086	341	+0.29	57.8%	235	16%▲13
14	Nico HischierFNJD	NJD	+0.083	1,387	+1.15	56.6%	941	97%▲2.3
15	William KarlssonFVGK	VGK	+0.083	973	+0.80	56.2%	711	24%▲20
16	Leon DraisaitlFEDM	EDM	+0.082	1,451	+1.19	56.9%	1,132	100%
17	J.T. MillerFVAN	VAN	+0.082	1,461	+1.19	56.3%	1,058	92%▲7.7
18	Kevin HayesFSTL	STL	+0.080	838	+0.67	57.0%	617	0.0%
19	Roope HintzFDAL	DAL	+0.079	566	+0.45	56.2%	394	84%▲7.1
20	Noel AcciariFPIT	PIT	+0.074	574	+0.43	54.5%	442	3.3%▲3.1
21	Dylan LarkinFDET	DET	+0.064	1,293	+0.83	55.4%	900	96%
22	Luke GlendeningFTBL	TBL	+0.063	948	+0.59	56.0%	672	0.0%
23	Boone JennerFCBJ	CBJ	+0.062	1,113	+0.69	54.3%	807	21%▲16
24	Pavel ZachaFBOS	BOS	+0.060	1,068	+0.64	54.8%	808	78%▲13
25	Steven StamkosFTBL	TBL	+0.057	637	+0.37	56.0%	483	94%▼4.2
26	Sebastian AhoFCAR	CAR	+0.057	1,055	+0.60	54.1%	782	99%▲1.2
27	Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI	NYI	+0.057	1,225	+0.70	55.4%	876	12%▲11
28	Erik HaulaFNJD	NJD	+0.056	892	+0.50	54.8%	640	12%▲8.7
29	Mark KastelicFOTT	OTT	+0.056	349	+0.19	54.4%	229	13%▲12
30	Tyler SeguinFDAL	DAL	+0.055	608	+0.33	56.3%	441	22%▲19
31	Nick PaulFTBL	TBL	+0.054	978	+0.53	54.3%	691	8.1%▲7.7
32	Sean MonahanFMTL/WPG	MTL/WPG	+0.054	1,272	+0.68	54.9%	967	19%▲13
33	Mikko RantanenFCOL	COL	+0.053	511	+0.27	53.8%	495	99%▲0.5
34	Derek RyanFEDM	EDM	+0.052	409	+0.21	55.7%	318	—
35	Matt DucheneFDAL	DAL	+0.051	637	+0.32	56.5%	440	62%▼17
36	Anton LundellFFLA	FLA	+0.050	878	+0.44	54.9%	556	46%▲31
37	Anze KopitarFLAK	LAK	+0.050	1,560	+0.78	55.1%	1,170	0.5%
38	Bo HorvatFNYI	NYI	+0.049	1,419	+0.69	53.9%	1,059	90%▲1.2
39	Radek FaksaFDAL	DAL	+0.047	520	+0.24	54.4%	336	0.1%
40	Ryan JohansenFCOL	COL	+0.045	811	+0.37	53.1%	611	—
41	Dylan StromeFWSH	WSH	+0.045	1,320	+0.59	52.8%	949	83%▲11
42	Sam CarrickFANA/EDM	ANA/EDM	+0.043	785	+0.34	53.4%	572	0.1%
43	Jack DruryFCAR	CAR	+0.042	664	+0.28	55.3%	441	5.6%▲5.4
44	Ryan O'ReillyFNSH	NSH	+0.040	1,536	+0.61	53.9%	1,153	84%▲5
45	Andrew CoppFDET	DET	+0.039	1,001	+0.39	53.5%	685	9.2%▲7.8
46	Chandler StephensonFVGK	VGK	+0.039	1,050	+0.41	52.6%	789	17%▲13
47	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	+0.038	1,319	+0.51	53.4%	835	99%
48	John BeecherFBOS	BOS	+0.038	500	+0.19	54.6%	320	0.1%
49	Michael McCarronFNSH	NSH	+0.036	671	+0.24	53.2%	397	7.3%▲6.9
50	Robert ThomasFSTL	STL	+0.036	1,649	+0.59	53.1%	1,208	93%▲20
51	Casey CizikasFNYI	NYI	+0.032	646	+0.21	53.4%	412	0.1%
52	Lars EllerFPIT	PIT	+0.032	932	+0.29	52.3%	672	0.2%
53	Colton SissonsFNSH	NSH	+0.030	1,176	+0.35	52.6%	832	3.3%▲3.1
54	Nick SuzukiFMTL	MTL	+0.029	1,311	+0.37	52.6%	885	100%▲0.5
55	Barclay GoodrowFNYR	NYR	+0.028	624	+0.18	54.0%	403	0.1%
56	Jake EvansFMTL	MTL	+0.028	1,137	+0.32	52.2%	826	5.7%▲5.2
57	Adam HenriqueFANA/EDM	ANA/EDM	+0.027	1,083	+0.30	53.3%	820	0.5%
58	Teddy BluegerFVAN	VAN	+0.027	781	+0.21	53.1%	519	4.8%▲4.6
59	Sean CouturierFPHI	PHI	+0.027	1,294	+0.35	53.5%	916	9.2%▲7.2
60	Nick FolignoFCHI	CHI	+0.027	435	+0.12	52.4%	378	4.1%▲3.6
61	Connor McDavidFEDM	EDM	+0.026	865	+0.22	51.1%	570	100%▲1.5
62	Brady TkachukFOTT	OTT	+0.025	380	+0.09	52.6%	334	100%▲2
63	Charlie CoyleFBOS	BOS	+0.020	1,477	+0.29	51.6%	1,086	49%▼11
64	Josh NorrisFOTT	OTT	+0.018	629	+0.12	52.1%	393	39%▲32
65	Jesperi KotkaniemiFCAR	CAR	+0.015	646	+0.09	51.5%	418	3.2%▲3.1
66	Elias PetterssonFVAN	VAN	+0.014	799	+0.11	50.8%	559	87%▼5.5
67	Ross ColtonFCOL	COL	+0.013	820	+0.11	51.6%	536	8.1%▲7.8
68	Pierre-Edouard BellemareFSEA	SEA	+0.012	325	+0.04	53.5%	216	—
69	Ryan McLeodFEDM	EDM	+0.011	718	+0.08	50.8%	410	26%▲20
70	Jonny BrodzinskiFNYR	NYR	+0.010	323	+0.03	50.2%	192	0.0%
71	Max DomiFTOR	TOR	+0.009	452	+0.04	50.0%	302	5.8%▲4.6
72	Phillip DanaultFLAK	LAK	+0.008	1,157	+0.10	51.9%	770	4.9%▲4.5
73	Kevin StenlundFFLA	FLA	+0.007	835	+0.06	51.4%	580	0.1%
74	David KampfFTOR	TOR	+0.004	922	+0.04	50.9%	669	0.0%
75	Frederick GaudreauFMIN	MIN	+0.004	547	+0.02	49.9%	409	0.2%
76	Joe PavelskiFDAL	DAL	+0.003	695	+0.02	51.1%	500	—
77	Mikael BacklundFCGY	CGY	+0.003	1,547	+0.05	50.3%	1,080	14%▲9.3
78	Shane PintoFOTT	OTT	+0.001	496	+0.00	50.6%	300	37%▲22
79	Pierre-Luc DuboisFLAK	LAK	−0.000	886	−0.00	49.7%	612	42%▲33
80	Morgan FrostFPHI	PHI	−0.001	823	−0.00	49.5%	545	23%▲17
81	Evgeni MalkinFPIT	PIT	−0.001	801	−0.01	48.6%	475	82%▲11
82	Mason McTavishFANA	ANA	−0.002	845	−0.02	51.7%	572	51%▲36
83	Pius SuterFVAN	VAN	−0.003	377	−0.01	49.3%	250	4.1%▲3.3
84	Nazem KadriFCGY	CGY	−0.003	1,210	−0.04	48.9%	828	71%▼9
85	Joel Eriksson EkFMIN	MIN	−0.003	1,602	−0.05	49.7%	1,146	82%▲10
86	Wyatt JohnstonFDAL	DAL	−0.003	634	−0.02	50.2%	439	100%▲0.9
87	Nick BoninoFNYR	NYR	−0.004	406	−0.02	51.0%	297	—
88	Brayden SchennFSTL	STL	−0.005	920	−0.05	49.3%	660	28%▲7.8
89	Nick BjugstadFARI	ARI	−0.009	1,253	−0.11	49.2%	874	0.1%
90	Rourke ChartierFOTT	OTT	−0.010	296	−0.03	52.0%	189	—
91	Ryan Nugent-HopkinsFEDM	EDM	−0.010	492	−0.05	48.0%	367	77%▲15
92	Adam LowryFWPG	WPG	−0.010	1,380	−0.14	49.0%	912	5.7%▲5.5
93	Barrett HaytonFARI	ARI	−0.012	418	−0.05	49.8%	301	11%▲11
94	Jason DickinsonFCHI	CHI	−0.014	1,236	−0.17	50.0%	860	3.2%▲3
95	Joseph VelenoFDET	DET	−0.015	622	−0.09	49.0%	413	4.1%▲3.9
96	Mika ZibanejadFNYR	NYR	−0.017	1,112	−0.19	49.3%	719	98%▲1.4
97	Ryan PoehlingFPHI	PHI	−0.018	938	−0.17	49.1%	616	6.7%▲5.1
98	Mark ScheifeleFWPG	WPG	−0.018	1,253	−0.22	48.1%	934	99%
99	Anthony CirelliFTBL	TBL	−0.018	935	−0.17	49.2%	563	51%▲19
100	Scott LaughtonFPHI	PHI	−0.018	977	−0.18	48.9%	682	5.6%▲5.5

Minimum sample: 246 draws (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 398 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Per 100 draws, in goals. +0.10 means roughly one extra goal for his team every 1,000 draws compared with a coin-flip centre.

How reliable is it?

Faceoff win rate is reliable (split-half r ≈ 0.8 over a season). What happens after the draw is not a skill (r ≈ 0.00), so it is not part of the stat.

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