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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws)

Name: Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws) (2025-26)
Creator: Edgehalla

2025-26All situationsThrough 82 team games

Not every faceoff is worth the same. Winning a 5-on-5 draw in either end zone is worth about +0.019 net expected goals over the next 20 seconds; a neutral-zone win is worth about +0.007. Draw Equity adds up (win − 0.5) × that value for every draw a player takes.

This board ranks Draw Equity per 100 draws, so a centre who takes 1,500 draws is not rewarded just for volume. The total column is the season value in goals.

Leader in 2025-26: Claude Giroux (OTT), +0.182 DrEq/100.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Strength5-on-5 All situations

171 qualified

Show

Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws), 2025-26, All situations
#	Player	Team		Draws			OZ+DZ draws
1	Claude GirouxFOTT	OTT	+0.182	799	+1.46	63.1%	675	92nd	75th	30%▲20
2	Gabriel LandeskogFCOL	COL	+0.146	260	+0.38	62.3%	218	99th	69th	50%▲32
3	Curtis LazarFEDM	EDM	+0.130	291	+0.38	61.2%	219	34th	14th	0.0%
4	Jonathan ToewsFWPG	WPG	+0.128	1,026	+1.32	62.1%	739	28th	28th	0.3%
5	Aatu RätyFVAN	VAN	+0.127	777	+0.99	60.5%	616	5th	26th	10%▲10
6	J.T. MillerFNYR	NYR	+0.124	890	+1.10	61.5%	654	30th	94th	92%▲7.9
7	Mark KastelicFBOS	BOS	+0.120	564	+0.68	60.8%	404	45th	20th	13%▲12
8	Roope HintzFDAL	DAL	+0.109	727	+0.79	59.1%	524	86th	90th	85%▲7.6
9	Dylan StromeFWSH	WSH	+0.104	1,334	+1.38	58.2%	988	53rd	56th	82%▲10
10	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	+0.103	972	+1.00	59.7%	671	9th	99th	99%
11	Brady TkachukFOTT	OTT	+0.101	304	+0.31	57.6%	261	96th	71st	100%▲2.2
12	Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI	NYI	+0.098	1,105	+1.08	59.1%	793	32nd	57th	12%▲11
13	Tomas HertlFVGK	VGK	+0.095	1,245	+1.19	57.8%	943	90th	44th	83%▲2.9
14	Anze KopitarFLAK	LAK	+0.091	1,307	+1.19	56.9%	1,010	67th	77th	0.5%
15	Steven StamkosFNSH	NSH	+0.085	560	+0.48	57.7%	408	34th	93rd	94%▼3.7
16	Vincent TrocheckFNYR	NYR	+0.084	1,099	+0.92	56.9%	814	31st	73rd	88%▼5.5
17	Morgan FrostFCGY	CGY	+0.083	1,058	+0.88	56.8%	784	16th	47th	23%▲17
18	Scott LaughtonFLAK/TOR	LAK/TOR	+0.081	768	+0.62	57.7%	538	22nd	38th	5.6%▲5.5
19	Elias LindholmFBOS	BOS	+0.081	1,177	+0.95	56.1%	889	42nd	84th	43%▲4.6
20	Leon DraisaitlFEDM	EDM	+0.077	1,103	+0.85	56.9%	805	81st	90th	100%
21	Bo HorvatFNYI	NYI	+0.077	1,226	+0.94	56.3%	882	33rd	96th	91%▲1.7
22	Colton SissonsFVGK	VGK	+0.074	614	+0.45	56.5%	412	85th	20th	3.3%▲3.1
23	Jack DruryFCOL	COL	+0.073	969	+0.71	58.1%	676	99th	25th	5.6%▲5.4
24	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	+0.071	1,392	+0.98	57.5%	1,007	11th	70th	96%▲9.3
25	Nico HischierFNJD	NJD	+0.070	1,808	+1.26	55.8%	1,301	55th	92nd	98%▲3
26	Tim WasheFANA	ANA	+0.069	388	+0.27	58.0%	285	47th	21st	4.0%▲4
27	Jordan StaalFCAR	CAR	+0.065	1,512	+0.98	55.5%	1,060	95th	81st	20%▲13
28	Cody GlassFNJD	NJD	+0.064	896	+0.57	54.0%	607	37th	45th	4.9%▲4.5
29	Sidney CrosbyFPIT	PIT	+0.063	1,401	+0.88	55.2%	942	50th	97th	100%▲2.4
30	Nico SturmFMIN	MIN	+0.061	372	+0.23	55.1%	290	42nd	30th	0.1%
31	Justin HryckowianFDAL	DAL	+0.060	343	+0.21	55.1%	225	73rd	41st	18%▲17
32	Kevin StenlundFUTA	UTA	+0.058	1,141	+0.67	54.2%	864	79th	24th	0.1%
33	Sean CouturierFPHI	PHI	+0.058	1,166	+0.67	54.2%	856	79th	57th	9.2%▲7.2
34	Phillip DanaultFLAK/MTL	LAK/MTL	+0.057	991	+0.57	54.8%	691	54th	43rd	4.9%▲4.5
35	Christian DvorakFPHI	PHI	+0.056	1,154	+0.65	54.5%	822	82nd	88th	16%▲13
36	Ryan O'ReillyFNSH	NSH	+0.056	1,342	+0.75	55.1%	939	39th	99th	84%▲5.1
37	Jake EvansFMTL	MTL	+0.055	845	+0.47	55.9%	560	47th	56th	5.7%▲5.2
38	Nick PaulFTBL	TBL	+0.052	557	+0.29	53.9%	395	87th	12th	8.1%▲7.7
39	Jack RoslovicFEDM	EDM	+0.050	268	+0.14	53.0%	187	62nd	56th	34%▲26
40	Sam CarrickFBUF/NYR	BUF/NYR	+0.050	540	+0.27	54.8%	350	19th	9th	0.1%
41	Alex TurcotteFLAK	LAK	+0.049	475	+0.23	54.1%	311	74th	16th	8.8%▲8.8
42	Rodrigo AbolsFPHI	PHI	+0.044	303	+0.13	52.1%	162	61st	1st	0.0%
43	Andrew CoppFDET	DET	+0.044	990	+0.43	54.2%	676	40th	70th	8.3%▲7
44	Adam LowryFWPG	WPG	+0.043	951	+0.41	54.9%	639	42nd	74th	5.7%▲5.5
45	Casey CizikasFNYI	NYI	+0.043	642	+0.28	54.7%	396	23rd	8th	0.1%
46	Lars EllerFOTT	OTT	+0.042	615	+0.26	54.0%	412	90th	2nd	0.2%
47	Shane PintoFOTT	OTT	+0.042	764	+0.32	51.8%	432	93rd	93rd	37%▲22
48	Adam HenriqueFEDM	EDM	+0.040	605	+0.24	54.0%	446	44th	21st	0.5%
49	Matt DucheneFDAL	DAL	+0.039	510	+0.20	52.2%	356	81st	52nd	62%▼17
50	Brayden SchennFNYI/STL	NYI/STL	+0.039	843	+0.33	54.1%	593	54th	57th	29%▲8.7
51	Dylan CozensFOTT	OTT	+0.036	818	+0.30	53.2%	478	94th	52nd	90%▲3.6
52	Chandler StephensonFSEA	SEA	+0.036	1,457	+0.52	52.1%	1,083	9th	97th	17%▲13
53	Pavel ZachaFBOS	BOS	+0.036	983	+0.35	53.3%	695	48th	83rd	77%▲12
54	Anton LundellFFLA	FLA	+0.034	1,120	+0.38	51.8%	773	63rd	98th	45%▲30
55	Ridly GreigFOTT	OTT	+0.033	512	+0.17	51.2%	340	97th	64th	15%▲13
56	Boone JennerFCBJ	CBJ	+0.033	380	+0.13	52.6%	273	66th	56th	21%▲16
57	Ben MeyersFSEA	SEA	+0.032	336	+0.11	55.1%	203	12th	31st	0.0%
58	Dominic JamesFTBL	TBL	+0.031	276	+0.09	50.4%	163	89th	5th	5.6%▲5.5
59	Michael McCarronFMIN/NSH	MIN/NSH	+0.031	994	+0.31	52.5%	703	26th	46th	7.3%▲6.9
60	Dylan LarkinFDET	DET	+0.029	1,492	+0.44	52.9%	1,098	35th	99th	96%
61	Radek FaksaFDAL	DAL	+0.026	441	+0.12	53.3%	303	64th	7th	0.1%
62	Noel AcciariFPIT	PIT	+0.026	594	+0.15	52.0%	487	70th	40th	3.3%▲3.1
63	Barrett HaytonFUTA	UTA	+0.025	777	+0.19	52.6%	551	88th	69th	11%▲11
64	Luke GlendeningFNJD/PHI	NJD/PHI	+0.024	649	+0.16	52.9%	480	32nd	12th	0.0%
65	Isac LundeströmFCBJ	CBJ	+0.024	257	+0.06	52.1%	174	57th	22nd	0.0%
66	Robert ThomasFSTL	STL	+0.024	1,042	+0.25	52.5%	784	75th	93rd	93%▲20
67	Marco KasperFDET	DET	+0.023	447	+0.10	51.5%	308	28th	47th	28%▲27
68	Nicolas RoyFCOL/TOR	COL/TOR	+0.023	721	+0.16	52.3%	477	28th	19th	4.9%▲4.7
69	Tim StützleFOTT	OTT	+0.022	638	+0.14	53.0%	410	96th	62nd	100%▲0.8
70	Mark JankowskiFCAR	CAR	+0.022	703	+0.16	51.4%	458	95th	2nd	0.2%
71	Ty DellandreaFSJS	SJS	+0.020	539	+0.11	51.9%	407	10th	28th	3.2%▲3.1
72	Sean MonahanFCBJ	CBJ	+0.020	1,220	+0.24	52.3%	865	62nd	64th	19%▲13
73	Joseph VelenoFMTL	MTL	+0.019	316	+0.06	51.6%	222	52nd	18th	3.3%▲3.1
74	Mika ZibanejadFNYR	NYR	+0.016	1,094	+0.17	52.5%	739	36th	90th	98%▲1.1
75	Nathan MacKinnonFCOL	COL	+0.013	1,334	+0.18	51.0%	904	99th	96th	100%▲0.8
76	Jack FinleyFSTL/TBL	STL/TBL	+0.011	395	+0.04	50.9%	266	61st	4th	3.2%▲3.2
77	Jesperi KotkaniemiFCAR	CAR	+0.009	270	+0.03	48.5%	171	97th	1st	3.2%▲3.1
78	Max DomiFTOR	TOR	+0.008	431	+0.03	51.3%	304	11th	73rd	5.8%▲4.6
79	David KampfFVAN/WSH	VAN/WSH	+0.006	553	+0.03	52.3%	371	5th	60th	0.0%
80	Jason DickinsonFCHI/EDM	CHI/EDM	+0.006	888	+0.05	49.3%	592	7th	94th	3.2%▲3
81	Sebastian AhoFCAR	CAR	+0.005	1,181	+0.06	50.5%	824	93rd	99th	99%▲0.9
82	Brock NelsonFCOL	COL	+0.005	1,459	+0.08	50.4%	1,071	99th	79th	87%▼4
83	Zack OstapchukFSJS	SJS	+0.005	457	+0.02	51.6%	278	6th	5th	3.2%▲3.1
84	Charlie CoyleFCBJ	CBJ	+0.005	1,234	+0.06	50.7%	880	72nd	82nd	48%▼12
85	Sam SteelFDAL	DAL	+0.005	255	+0.01	50.6%	163	80th	66th	5.8%▲4.9
86	Jack McBainFUTA	UTA	+0.004	641	+0.03	51.3%	418	88th	47th	18%▲15
87	Noah LabaFNYR	NYR	+0.003	652	+0.02	50.8%	408	17th	15th	11%▲11
88	Sean KuralyFBOS	BOS	+0.003	662	+0.02	51.1%	430	37th	14th	0.1%
89	Brett HowdenFVGK	VGK	+0.002	517	+0.01	50.3%	337	90th	57th	15%▲15
90	Connor McDavidFEDM	EDM	+0.000	923	+0.00	49.5%	609	87th	98th	100%▲1.5
91	Josh NorrisFBUF	BUF	+0.000	594	+0.00	49.5%	423	75th	78th	39%▲32
92	Nic DowdFVGK/WSH	VGK/WSH	−0.003	968	−0.03	49.2%	658	59th	41st	3.2%▲3.1
93	Nick SuzukiFMTL	MTL	−0.003	1,449	−0.04	50.4%	987	65th	99th	100%
94	J.T. CompherFDET	DET	−0.003	1,022	−0.04	50.9%	716	27th	44th	4.0%▲3.9
95	Mikael BacklundFCGY	CGY	−0.005	1,441	−0.07	50.0%	1,031	27th	93rd	14%▲9.3
96	Luke KuninFFLA	FLA	−0.008	443	−0.03	49.4%	307	42nd	4th	0.0%
97	Fraser MintenFBOS	BOS	−0.009	839	−0.07	49.3%	514	43rd	54th	45%▲35
98	Marco RossiFMIN/VAN	MIN/VAN	−0.009	575	−0.05	49.2%	407	8th	63rd	58%▲12
99	Adam FantilliFCBJ	CBJ	−0.011	1,108	−0.12	49.8%	738	75th	69th	92%▲9.9
100	Matty BeniersFSEA	SEA	−0.012	1,072	−0.13	48.0%	699	18th	88th	49%▼2.3

Minimum sample: 246 draws (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 399 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Per 100 draws, in goals. +0.10 means roughly one extra goal for his team every 1,000 draws compared with a coin-flip centre.

How reliable is it?

Faceoff win rate is reliable (split-half r ≈ 0.8 over a season). What happens after the draw is not a skill (r ≈ 0.00), so it is not part of the stat.

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