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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws)

2024-25All situationsThrough 82 team games

Not every faceoff is worth the same. Winning a 5-on-5 draw in either end zone is worth about +0.019 net expected goals over the next 20 seconds; a neutral-zone win is worth about +0.007. Draw Equity adds up (win − 0.5) × that value for every draw a player takes.

This board ranks Draw Equity per 100 draws, so a centre who takes 1,500 draws is not rewarded just for volume. The total column is the season value in goals.

Leader in 2024-25: Claude Giroux (OTT), +0.128 DrEq/100.

Draw Equity leaderboard

164 qualified
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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws), 2024-25, All situations
#PlayerDraws
1Claude GirouxFOTT+0.128976+1.2561.5%30%▲20
2Derek RyanFEDM+0.110250+0.2760.4%—
3Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI+0.101988+1.0059.6%12%▲11
4Vincent TrocheckFNYR+0.0991,534+1.5259.3%88%▼5.4
5Kevin StenlundFUTA+0.0961,054+1.0159.1%0.1%
6J.T. MillerFNYR/VAN+0.0931,078+1.0058.3%92%▲7.7
7Bo HorvatFNYI+0.0911,319+1.2058.2%90%▲1.2
8Aatu RätyFVAN+0.090333+0.3057.4%10%▲10
9William KarlssonFVGK+0.090706+0.6358.1%24%▲20
10John TavaresFTOR+0.0841,308+1.1058.3%96%▲9.3
11Jack DruryFCAR/COL+0.084746+0.6257.8%5.6%▲5.4
12Anze KopitarFLAK+0.0771,537+1.1957.2%0.5%
13Aleksander BarkovFFLA+0.0771,026+0.7956.5%97%▲7
14Sidney CrosbyFPIT+0.0771,782+1.3757.0%100%▲2.4
15Auston MatthewsFTOR+0.0731,223+0.8956.8%99%
16Jamie BennFDAL+0.073529+0.3956.0%22%▲18
17Luke GlendeningFTBL+0.072881+0.6357.0%0.0%
18Nico HischierFNJD+0.0671,777+1.1955.5%97%▲2.3
19Tomas HertlFVGK+0.064958+0.6255.9%84%▲3.2
20Sean CouturierFPHI+0.0641,195+0.7656.1%9.2%▲7.2
21Nico SturmFFLA/SJS+0.060422+0.2558.8%0.1%
22Sebastian AhoFCAR+0.0601,198+0.7255.3%99%▲1.2
23Elias LindholmFBOS+0.0591,374+0.8255.2%43%▲4.7
24Roope HintzFDAL+0.059850+0.5053.9%84%▲7.1
25Radek FaksaFSTL+0.058758+0.4457.0%0.1%
26Ryan O'ReillyFNSH+0.0581,339+0.7755.7%84%▲5
27Jack RoslovicFCAR+0.057355+0.2054.1%34%▲26
28Christian DvorakFMTL+0.0541,060+0.5755.8%16%▲13
29Dylan LarkinFDET+0.0541,599+0.8654.5%96%
30Adam HenriqueFEDM+0.0501,010+0.5155.6%0.5%
31Dylan StromeFWSH+0.0491,287+0.6353.7%83%▲11
32Michael McCarronFNSH+0.049923+0.4554.4%7.3%▲6.9
33Leon DraisaitlFEDM+0.0481,196+0.5854.3%100%
34Colton SissonsFNSH+0.047624+0.3054.8%3.3%▲3.1
35Robert ThomasFSTL+0.0471,338+0.6254.8%93%▲20
36Ridly GreigFOTT+0.046380+0.1754.7%15%▲13
37Sean KuralyFCBJ+0.043582+0.2554.3%0.2%
38Casey CizikasFNYI+0.043611+0.2655.2%0.1%
39Barrett HaytonFUTA+0.0411,020+0.4254.1%11%▲11
40Tomas NosekFFLA+0.038456+0.1751.8%—
41Josh NorrisFBUF/OTT+0.037767+0.2853.8%39%▲32
42Jordan StaalFCAR+0.0361,329+0.4854.5%20%▲13
43Noel AcciariFPIT+0.032598+0.1953.7%3.3%▲3.1
44Jake EvansFMTL+0.0321,122+0.3652.9%5.7%▲5.2
45Matt DucheneFDAL+0.031840+0.2652.4%62%▼17
46Sam SteelFDAL+0.030400+0.1253.5%5.8%▲4.9
47Anton LundellFFLA+0.0291,023+0.3053.0%46%▲31
48Mikko RantanenFCAR/COL/DAL+0.029255+0.0752.9%99%▲0.5
49Pavel ZachaFBOS+0.027739+0.2053.2%78%▲13
50Rasmus KupariFWPG+0.027499+0.1352.5%—
51Curtis LazarFNJD+0.026400+0.1051.3%0.0%
52Sam CarrickFNYR+0.026692+0.1854.2%0.1%
53Mark KastelicFBOS+0.025366+0.0954.4%13%▲12
54Brady TkachukFOTT+0.025347+0.0951.3%100%▲2
55Andrew CoppFDET+0.022627+0.1450.7%9.2%▲7.8
56Ryan McLeodFBUF+0.0221,204+0.2652.3%26%▲20
57Jesperi KotkaniemiFCAR+0.021709+0.1551.8%3.2%▲3.1
58Morgan FrostFCGY/PHI+0.0211,033+0.2251.2%23%▲17
59Kevin HayesFPIT+0.020453+0.0952.1%0.0%
60Brett HowdenFVGK+0.020516+0.1052.7%16%▲15
61Brock NelsonFCOL/NYI+0.0181,209+0.2252.1%88%▼3.6
62Erik HaulaFNJD+0.017719+0.1252.6%12%▲8.7
63Phillip DanaultFLAK+0.0171,216+0.2052.2%4.9%▲4.5
64Brayden SchennFSTL+0.0161,182+0.1952.3%28%▲7.8
65Chandler StephensonFSEA+0.0161,474+0.2451.6%17%▲13
66Alexander KerfootFUTA+0.015494+0.0752.4%3.2%▲3.1
67Sean MonahanFCBJ+0.0111,171+0.1352.6%19%▲13
68David KampfFTOR+0.011543+0.0651.2%0.0%
69Nick SuzukiFMTL+0.0111,318+0.1551.6%100%▲0.5
70Jack McBainFUTA+0.008459+0.0449.9%17%▲15
71Zack OstapchukFOTT/SJS+0.007282+0.0248.6%3.2%▲3.1
72Max DomiFTOR+0.007544+0.0450.2%5.8%▲4.6
73John BeecherFBOS+0.006542+0.0352.0%0.1%
74Dylan CozensFBUF/OTT+0.0051,160+0.0650.6%90%▲3.9
75Ryan PoehlingFPHI+0.005737+0.0450.9%6.7%▲5.1
76Adam LowryFWPG+0.0051,188+0.0651.8%5.7%▲5.5
77Mika ZibanejadFNYR+0.0051,056+0.0552.0%98%▲1.4
78Lars EllerFPIT/WSH+0.004751+0.0352.2%0.2%
79Pierre-Luc DuboisFWSH+0.0041,161+0.0549.7%42%▲33
80Wyatt JohnstonFDAL+0.004909+0.0451.2%100%▲0.9
81Mikael GranlundFDAL/SJS+0.003724+0.0249.6%52%▼12
82Adam GaudetteFOTT+0.002350+0.0150.3%0.1%
83Nathan MacKinnonFCOL+0.0021,514+0.0349.9%100%▲0.9
84Mark ScheifeleFWPG+0.0021,268+0.0249.4%99%
85Mason McTavishFANA+0.001961+0.0150.7%51%▲36
86Jason DickinsonFCHI+0.000916+0.0049.5%3.2%▲3
87Nick SchmaltzFUTA−0.001376−0.0049.2%94%▲4.4
88Steven StamkosFNSH−0.001794−0.0149.9%94%▼4.2
89Mark JankowskiFCAR/NSH−0.001433−0.0150.6%0.2%
90Nick PaulFTBL−0.002786−0.0150.0%8.1%▲7.7
91Scott LaughtonFPHI/TOR−0.002498−0.0150.8%5.6%▲5.5
92Colin BlackwellFDAL−0.003308−0.0149.0%0.1%
93Shane PintoFOTT−0.003886−0.0250.1%37%▲22
94Anthony CirelliFTBL−0.0031,292−0.0450.1%51%▲19
95Cody GlassFNJD/PIT−0.005473−0.0251.4%4.9%▲4.5
96Nick BjugstadFUTA−0.008437−0.0447.4%0.1%
97Teddy BluegerFVAN−0.0091,015−0.0950.2%4.8%▲4.6
98Macklin CelebriniFSJS−0.0101,051−0.1148.2%100%▲1
99Peyton KrebsFBUF−0.011665−0.0749.0%19%▲17
100Blake LizotteFPIT−0.013347−0.0451.0%0.1%

Minimum sample: 246 draws (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 391 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Per 100 draws, in goals. +0.10 means roughly one extra goal for his team every 1,000 draws compared with a coin-flip centre.

How reliable is it?

Faceoff win rate is reliable (split-half r ≈ 0.8 over a season). What happens after the draw is not a skill (r ≈ 0.00), so it is not part of the stat.

How Draw Equity is calculated →

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