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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws)

Name: Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws) (2024-25)
Creator: Edgehalla

2024-255-on-5Through 82 team games

Not every faceoff is worth the same. Winning a 5-on-5 draw in either end zone is worth about +0.019 net expected goals over the next 20 seconds; a neutral-zone win is worth about +0.007. Draw Equity adds up (win − 0.5) × that value for every draw a player takes.

This board ranks Draw Equity per 100 draws, so a centre who takes 1,500 draws is not rewarded just for volume. The total column is the season value in goals.

Leader in 2024-25: Vincent Trocheck (NYR), +0.098 DrEq/100.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Strength5-on-5 All situations

157 qualified

Show

Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws), 2024-25, 5-on-5
#	Player	Team		Draws			OZ+DZ draws
1	Vincent TrocheckFNYR	NYR	+0.098	1,005	+0.99	59.6%	694	34th	89th	88%▼5.4
2	William KarlssonFVGK	VGK	+0.098	581	+0.57	59.2%	384	85th	14th	24%▲20
3	Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI	NYI	+0.098	694	+0.68	59.2%	491	62nd	57th	12%▲11
4	Nico SturmFFLA/SJS	FLA/SJS	+0.095	353	+0.34	62.0%	209	9th	27th	0.1%
5	Claude GirouxFOTT	OTT	+0.092	579	+0.53	59.1%	442	60th	78th	30%▲20
6	Luke GlendeningFTBL	TBL	+0.092	691	+0.63	58.6%	479	64th	11th	0.0%
7	J.T. MillerFNYR/VAN	NYR/VAN	+0.090	785	+0.71	58.0%	518	40th	92nd	92%▲7.7
8	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	+0.087	899	+0.79	58.3%	588	84th	90th	99%
9	Bo HorvatFNYI	NYI	+0.087	943	+0.82	58.9%	626	64th	80th	90%▲1.2
10	Kevin StenlundFUTA	UTA	+0.083	752	+0.62	58.5%	560	78th	34th	0.1%
11	Aatu RätyFVAN	VAN	+0.083	303	+0.25	56.8%	205	55th	6th	10%▲10
12	Jack DruryFCAR/COL	CAR/COL	+0.081	586	+0.48	58.0%	386	92nd	15th	5.6%▲5.4
13	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	+0.081	968	+0.78	58.2%	660	70th	67th	96%▲9.3
14	Anze KopitarFLAK	LAK	+0.071	1,050	+0.75	56.8%	682	90th	65th	0.5%
15	Jamie BennFDAL	DAL	+0.070	362	+0.25	55.8%	261	63rd	56th	22%▲18
16	Jack RoslovicFCAR	CAR	+0.067	290	+0.19	54.8%	204	97th	34th	34%▲26
17	Colton SissonsFNSH	NSH	+0.066	435	+0.29	56.6%	298	45th	34th	3.3%▲3.1
18	Sidney CrosbyFPIT	PIT	+0.066	1,396	+0.91	56.2%	933	35th	98th	100%▲2.4
19	Nico HischierFNJD	NJD	+0.065	1,183	+0.77	55.8%	805	86th	84th	97%▲2.3
20	Adam HenriqueFEDM	EDM	+0.065	708	+0.46	57.3%	467	78th	13th	0.5%
21	Aleksander BarkovFFLA	FLA	+0.065	664	+0.43	55.4%	370	99th	92nd	97%▲7
22	Sam SteelFDAL	DAL	+0.062	319	+0.20	56.7%	181	56th	33rd	5.8%▲4.9
23	Christian DvorakFMTL	MTL	+0.061	822	+0.51	56.1%	518	28th	49th	16%▲13
24	Roope HintzFDAL	DAL	+0.061	694	+0.42	53.6%	451	70th	83rd	84%▲7.1
25	Ryan O'ReillyFNSH	NSH	+0.060	918	+0.55	56.9%	590	51st	91st	84%▲5
26	Casey CizikasFNYI	NYI	+0.060	567	+0.34	56.4%	350	53rd	38th	0.1%
27	Jordan StaalFCAR	CAR	+0.057	984	+0.56	56.7%	628	98th	72nd	20%▲13
28	Elias LindholmFBOS	BOS	+0.056	900	+0.50	55.1%	601	38th	95th	43%▲4.7
29	Sean CouturierFPHI	PHI	+0.055	976	+0.54	55.5%	685	69th	54th	9.2%▲7.2
30	Radek FaksaFSTL	STL	+0.053	664	+0.35	56.6%	382	41st	39th	0.1%
31	Sean KuralyFCBJ	CBJ	+0.053	509	+0.27	55.2%	333	12th	32nd	0.2%
32	Jake EvansFMTL	MTL	+0.051	795	+0.41	54.6%	468	19th	67th	5.7%▲5.2
33	Noel AcciariFPIT	PIT	+0.051	385	+0.20	56.4%	306	20th	72nd	3.3%▲3.1
34	Tomas NosekFFLA	FLA	+0.049	398	+0.19	53.0%	224	92nd	4th	—
35	Sebastian AhoFCAR	CAR	+0.048	847	+0.41	54.8%	598	99th	91st	99%▲1.2
36	Anton LundellFFLA	FLA	+0.047	778	+0.36	54.5%	521	90th	45th	46%▲31
37	Matt DucheneFDAL	DAL	+0.046	697	+0.32	53.7%	466	56th	57th	62%▼17
38	Robert ThomasFSTL	STL	+0.045	935	+0.42	54.5%	664	71st	91st	93%▲20
39	Michael McCarronFNSH	NSH	+0.045	751	+0.33	54.2%	432	44th	33rd	7.3%▲6.9
40	Pavel ZachaFBOS	BOS	+0.041	506	+0.21	54.2%	356	54th	84th	78%▲13
41	Rasmus KupariFWPG	WPG	+0.039	409	+0.16	53.5%	247	83rd	14th	—
42	Tomas HertlFVGK	VGK	+0.036	701	+0.26	54.1%	522	89th	31st	84%▲3.2
43	Ryan PoehlingFPHI	PHI	+0.035	606	+0.21	52.8%	361	74th	23rd	6.7%▲5.1
44	Leon DraisaitlFEDM	EDM	+0.033	879	+0.29	53.0%	658	99th	70th	100%
45	Mark KastelicFBOS	BOS	+0.032	341	+0.11	55.1%	220	18th	42nd	13%▲12
46	Josh NorrisFBUF/OTT	BUF/OTT	+0.031	535	+0.17	54.6%	325	55th	95th	39%▲32
47	Dylan LarkinFDET	DET	+0.031	1,066	+0.33	52.3%	714	40th	97th	96%
48	Dylan StromeFWSH	WSH	+0.031	923	+0.28	52.4%	623	59th	73rd	83%▲11
49	David KampfFTOR	TOR	+0.030	403	+0.12	52.4%	231	60th	34th	0.0%
50	Curtis LazarFNJD	NJD	+0.030	352	+0.10	51.1%	223	57th	32nd	0.0%
51	Andrew CoppFDET	DET	+0.028	553	+0.16	51.2%	383	26th	27th	9.2%▲7.8
52	Jesperi KotkaniemiFCAR	CAR	+0.028	661	+0.19	52.3%	393	94th	17th	3.2%▲3.1
53	Ridly GreigFOTT	OTT	+0.028	277	+0.08	53.8%	204	59th	68th	15%▲13
54	Teddy BluegerFVAN	VAN	+0.028	738	+0.21	53.4%	486	52nd	31st	4.8%▲4.6
55	Ryan McLeodFBUF	BUF	+0.027	863	+0.23	53.0%	558	28th	67th	26%▲20
56	Jason DickinsonFCHI	CHI	+0.026	681	+0.18	51.1%	413	7th	96th	3.2%▲3
57	Brett HowdenFVGK	VGK	+0.025	455	+0.11	53.4%	293	89th	30th	16%▲15
58	Sam CarrickFNYR	NYR	+0.024	648	+0.16	54.0%	407	12th	33rd	0.1%
59	John BeecherFBOS	BOS	+0.024	457	+0.11	53.0%	308	14th	37th	0.1%
60	Cody GlassFNJD/PIT	NJD/PIT	+0.022	405	+0.09	53.8%	250	35th	43rd	4.9%▲4.5
61	Phillip DanaultFLAK	LAK	+0.022	927	+0.20	52.8%	621	95th	40th	4.9%▲4.5
62	Barrett HaytonFUTA	UTA	+0.022	790	+0.17	51.9%	532	86th	38th	11%▲11
63	Alexander KerfootFUTA	UTA	+0.021	345	+0.07	53.0%	209	77th	46th	3.2%▲3.1
64	Jack McBainFUTA	UTA	+0.021	422	+0.09	51.4%	255	81st	28th	17%▲15
65	Adam LowryFWPG	WPG	+0.020	905	+0.18	54.0%	577	72nd	42nd	5.7%▲5.5
66	Dylan CozensFBUF/OTT	BUF/OTT	+0.020	852	+0.17	52.1%	571	37th	22nd	90%▲3.9
67	Chandler StephensonFSEA	SEA	+0.020	1,001	+0.20	52.1%	696	28th	79th	17%▲13
68	Nic DowdFWSH	WSH	+0.019	812	+0.16	52.7%	513	67th	54th	3.2%▲3.1
69	Nick SuzukiFMTL	MTL	+0.018	948	+0.17	52.2%	628	33rd	95th	100%▲0.5
70	Wyatt JohnstonFDAL	DAL	+0.017	676	+0.12	52.2%	467	63rd	76th	100%▲0.9
71	Brayden SchennFSTL	STL	+0.017	932	+0.16	52.1%	650	74th	54th	28%▲7.8
72	Mark JankowskiFCAR/NSH	CAR/NSH	+0.015	338	+0.05	51.8%	220	69th	26th	0.2%
73	Morgan FrostFCGY/PHI	CGY/PHI	+0.013	798	+0.10	50.5%	534	59th	39th	23%▲17
74	Mika ZibanejadFNYR	NYR	+0.013	846	+0.11	52.6%	525	25th	92nd	98%▲1.4
75	Lars EllerFPIT/WSH	PIT/WSH	+0.012	639	+0.07	52.7%	392	61st	17th	0.2%
76	Erik HaulaFNJD	NJD	+0.011	604	+0.07	52.8%	407	75th	37th	12%▲8.7
77	Kevin HayesFPIT	PIT	+0.011	377	+0.04	51.2%	249	26th	19th	0.0%
78	Blake LizotteFPIT	PIT	+0.008	295	+0.02	53.2%	194	14th	96th	0.1%
79	Brock NelsonFCOL/NYI	COL/NYI	+0.008	969	+0.07	51.3%	661	68th	63rd	88%▼3.6
80	Mason McTavishFANA	ANA	+0.007	737	+0.05	51.2%	518	6th	84th	51%▲36
81	Scott LaughtonFPHI/TOR	PHI/TOR	+0.007	382	+0.03	52.4%	245	68th	63rd	5.6%▲5.5
82	Mikael BacklundFCGY	CGY	+0.006	1,003	+0.06	50.0%	718	45th	55th	14%▲9.3
83	Pierre-Luc DuboisFWSH	WSH	+0.005	1,024	+0.05	49.7%	698	68th	82nd	42%▲33
84	Mikael GranlundFDAL/SJS	DAL/SJS	+0.004	571	+0.02	49.6%	374	11th	88th	52%▼12
85	Sean MonahanFCBJ	CBJ	+0.003	812	+0.03	51.8%	551	48th	86th	19%▲13
86	Max DomiFTOR	TOR	+0.003	483	+0.01	49.7%	313	65th	42nd	5.8%▲4.6
87	Yanni GourdeFSEA/TBL	SEA/TBL	+0.002	461	+0.01	51.2%	279	46th	19th	4.9%▲4
88	Zack OstapchukFOTT/SJS	OTT/SJS	+0.002	271	+0.01	48.3%	136	12th	8th	3.2%▲3.1
89	Charlie CoyleFBOS/COL	BOS/COL	+0.000	546	+0.00	49.6%	388	45th	68th	49%▼11
90	Shane PintoFOTT	OTT	−0.000	758	−0.00	50.4%	486	54th	75th	37%▲22
91	Adam GaudetteFOTT	OTT	−0.002	337	−0.01	49.9%	201	39th	8th	0.1%
92	Anthony CirelliFTBL	TBL	−0.003	1,010	−0.03	50.2%	638	92nd	75th	51%▲19
93	Ryan Nugent-HopkinsFEDM	EDM	−0.004	453	−0.02	51.2%	292	99th	56th	77%▲15
94	Justin DanforthFCBJ	CBJ	−0.005	535	−0.03	50.5%	339	13th	55th	0.0%
95	Mark ScheifeleFWPG	WPG	−0.006	947	−0.05	48.7%	670	80th	78th	99%
96	Isac LundeströmFANA	ANA	−0.006	611	−0.04	50.1%	401	1st	49th	0.0%
97	Frederick GaudreauFMIN	MIN	−0.006	836	−0.05	49.2%	549	30th	51st	0.2%
98	Peyton KrebsFBUF	BUF	−0.007	551	−0.04	49.5%	365	28th	37th	19%▲17
99	Matty BeniersFSEA	SEA	−0.008	1,009	−0.08	47.9%	641	26th	86th	50%▼1.5
100	Ty DellandreaFSJS	SJS	−0.009	354	−0.03	51.1%	228	5th	28th	3.2%▲3.1

Minimum sample: 246 draws (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 382 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Per 100 draws, in goals. +0.10 means roughly one extra goal for his team every 1,000 draws compared with a coin-flip centre.

How reliable is it?

Faceoff win rate is reliable (split-half r ≈ 0.8 over a season). What happens after the draw is not a skill (r ≈ 0.00), so it is not part of the stat.

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