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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws)

2026-275-on-5Through 3 team games

Not every faceoff is worth the same. Winning a 5-on-5 draw in either end zone is worth about +0.019 net expected goals over the next 20 seconds; a neutral-zone win is worth about +0.007. Draw Equity adds up (win − 0.5) × that value for every draw a player takes.

This board ranks Draw Equity per 100 draws, so a centre who takes 1,500 draws is not rewarded just for volume. The total column is the season value in goals.

Leader in 2026-27: Vincent Trocheck (UTA), +0.605 DrEq/100.

  • Early sample: teams have played at most 3 games in 2026-27. Expect big swings.

Draw Equity leaderboard

87 qualified
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Draw Equity Leaders (Faceoff Value per 100 Draws), 2026-27, 5-on-5
#PlayerDraws
1Vincent TrocheckFUTA+0.60511+0.0781.8%88%▼5.5
2Boone JennerFWSH+0.45010+0.0480.0%21%▲16
3Alex TurcotteFLAK+0.43312+0.0583.3%8.8%▲8.8
4Quinton ByfieldFLAK+0.43312+0.0583.3%86%▲18
5Adam FantilliFCBJ+0.39717+0.0776.5%92%▲9.9
6Sean KuralyFBOS+0.39715+0.0666.7%0.1%
7Noel AcciariFPHI+0.38918+0.0772.2%3.3%▲3.1
8Marco KasperFDET+0.37512+0.0475.0%28%▲27
9Michael McCarronFMIN+0.3179+0.0366.7%7.3%▲6.9
10Sam BennettFFLA+0.26414+0.0457.1%83%▲4
11Colton SissonsFTOR+0.25911+0.0363.6%3.3%▲3.1
12Dylan StromeFWSH+0.2509+0.0266.7%82%▲10
13Nick SuzukiFMTL+0.2399+0.0255.6%100%
14Tim WasheFANA+0.23716+0.0462.5%4.0%▲4
15Connor McDavidFEDM+0.23324+0.0658.3%100%▲1.5
16Sebastian AhoFCAR+0.23121+0.0566.7%99%▲0.9
17Evan RodriguesFNJD+0.22520+0.0465.0%8.3%▲6.5
18William KarlssonFVGK+0.22131+0.0767.7%24%▲20
19Anton LundellFFLA+0.21913+0.0361.5%45%▲30
20Pavel ZachaFBOS+0.21025+0.0556.0%77%▲12
21Charlie CoyleFCBJ+0.20012+0.0250.0%48%▼12
22Andrew CoppFDET+0.17313+0.0261.5%8.3%▲7
23Scott LaughtonFLAK+0.1729+0.0255.6%5.6%▲5.5
24Frederick GaudreauFSEA+0.14111+0.0254.5%0.1%
25Mark ScheifeleFWPG+0.13010+0.0160.0%100%
26Elias LindholmFBOS+0.11926+0.0353.8%43%▲4.6
27Mika ZibanejadFNYR+0.10833+0.0457.6%98%▲1.1
28Auston MatthewsFTOR+0.10618+0.0255.6%99%
29Owen MichaelsFEDM+0.10012+0.0150.0%0.0%
30Nico HischierFNJD+0.09511+0.0163.6%98%▲3
31John TavaresFTOR+0.07313+0.0153.8%96%▲9.3
32Colton DachFEDM+0.06422+0.0159.1%11%▲11
33Ryan O'ReillyFNSH+0.06010+0.0150.0%84%▲5.1
34Jordan StaalFCAR+0.05022+0.0145.5%20%▲13
35Leon DraisaitlFEDM+0.05019+0.0152.6%100%
36Joseph VelenoFNYR+0.04730+0.0156.7%3.3%▲3.1
37Noah CatesFPHI+0.04521+0.0152.4%18%▲15
38J.T. MillerFNYR+0.04239+0.0253.8%92%▲7.9
39Jake EvansFMTL+0.0399+0.0055.6%5.7%▲5.2
40J.T. CompherFDET+0.03211+0.0054.5%4.0%▲3.9
41Christian DvorakFPHI+0.02528+0.0153.6%16%▲13
42Marco RossiFVAN+0.01913+0.0046.2%58%▲12
43Mikael BacklundFCGY+0.00714+0.0057.1%14%▲9.3
44Mark JankowskiFCAR0.000180.0050.0%0.2%
45Blake LizotteFPIT0.000120.0050.0%0.1%
46Roman KantserovFCHI−0.00520−0.0045.0%59%▲49
47Jack EichelFVGK−0.01229−0.0048.3%99%▲1.4
48Sean MonahanFCBJ−0.01916−0.0031.3%19%▲13
49Trevor ZegrasFPHI−0.02315−0.0046.7%86%▲19
50Elias PetterssonFVAN−0.03329−0.0148.3%87%▼5.8
51Adam LowryFWPG−0.03918−0.0144.4%5.7%▲5.5
52Sean CouturierFPHI−0.0399−0.0044.4%9.2%▲7.2
53Aleksander BarkovFFLA−0.04314−0.0150.0%97%▲7.2
54Matty BeniersFSEA−0.04314−0.0150.0%49%▼2.3
55Ryan HartmanFMIN−0.05012−0.0150.0%40%▼17
56Jack DruryFNSH−0.06010−0.0150.0%5.6%▲5.4
57Pierre-Luc DuboisFWSH−0.06513−0.0153.8%41%▲32
58Frank NazarFCHI−0.06625−0.0244.0%54%▲34
59Mikael GranlundFANA−0.07010−0.0140.0%51%▼13
60Sidney CrosbyFPIT−0.07313−0.0146.2%100%▲2.4
61Nic DowdFVGK−0.08116−0.0143.8%3.2%▲3.1
62Nick PaulFTOR−0.10012−0.0150.0%8.1%▲7.7
63Leo CarlssonFANA−0.10012−0.0150.0%94%▲10
64Logan StankovenFCAR−0.11916−0.0243.8%67%▲42
65Paul CotterFVAN−0.12617−0.0247.1%14%▲14
66Nathan MacKinnonFCOL−0.13614−0.0242.9%100%▲0.8
67Noah LabaFNYR−0.14021−0.0338.1%11%▲11
68Lars EllerFFLA−0.17114−0.0250.0%0.2%
69Max SassonFVAN−0.17218−0.0344.4%4.9%▲4.9
70Sam CarrickFBUF−0.1729−0.0244.4%0.1%
71Noah OstlundFBUF−0.18611−0.0254.5%25%▲24
72Ryan GreeneFCHI−0.19425−0.0536.0%10%▲10
73Teddy BluegerFTOR−0.20511−0.0236.4%4.8%▲4.6
74Ryan McLeodFBUF−0.20812−0.0341.7%26%▲20
75Anton FrondellFCHI−0.22218−0.0427.8%72%▲51
76Brayden PointFTBL−0.2509−0.0233.3%95%▲7.7
77Fraser MintenFBOS−0.25812−0.0341.7%45%▲35
78Joel Eriksson EkFMIN−0.26811−0.0327.3%82%▲11
79Jack HughesFNJD−0.26811−0.0327.3%100%
80Chandler StephensonFSEA−0.27313−0.0430.8%17%▲13
81Tomas HertlFVGK−0.30917−0.0541.2%83%▲2.9
82Anthony CirelliFTBL−0.32311−0.0427.3%51%▲19
83Tage ThompsonFBUF−0.37010−0.0440.0%100%▲1.1
84Robert ThomasFSTL−0.44010−0.0430.0%93%▲20
85Mason McTavishFSTL−0.44111−0.0518.2%51%▲36
86Bo HorvatFNYI−0.45010−0.0420.0%91%▲1.7
87Tommy NovakFPIT−0.48312−0.0616.7%11%▲9.1

Minimum sample: 9.0 draws (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 131 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Per 100 draws, in goals. +0.10 means roughly one extra goal for his team every 1,000 draws compared with a coin-flip centre.

How reliable is it?

Faceoff win rate is reliable (split-half r ≈ 0.8 over a season). What happens after the draw is not a skill (r ≈ 0.00), so it is not part of the stat.

How Draw Equity is calculated →

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