On-ice results

Sequence xG (sxGF%) Leaders

2026-27All situationsThrough 3 team games

Plain expected goals add up every shot in a scramble as if each one were a fresh chance, even though only one goal can come out of it. Sequence xG discounts each follow-up attempt by the chance the play was already over: a shot worth 0.30 after a 0.25 rebound counts as 0.30 × 0.75.

That takes about 5.5% out of the league total, but it moves individual players much more: skaters whose lines live on second and third whacks drop, and clean one-shot rush lines rise.

Leader in 2026-27: Leon Draisaitl (EDM), 85.9% sxGF%.

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Strength5-on-5 Even strength All situations

Early sample: teams have played at most 3 games in 2026-27. Expect big swings.

152 qualified

Show

Sequence xG (sxGF%) Leaders, 2026-27, All situations
#	Player	Team
1	Leon DraisaitlFEDM	EDM	85.9%	42	6.64	1.09	86.3%	100%
2	Vasily PodkolzinFEDM	EDM	84.6%	36	6.62	1.21	85.1%	64%▲55
3	Macklin CelebriniFSJS	SJS	83.7%	23	5.14	1.00	81.9%	100%▲0.9
4	Mikhail SergachevDUTA	UTA	82.3%	23	3.97	0.85	82.4%	98%▲5.2
5	Jack RoslovicFTOR	TOR	81.0%	33	3.11	0.73	81.4%	34%▲26
6	Carter VerhaegheFFLA	FLA	78.7%	36	3.47	0.94	80.2%	73%▲1
7	Andrei SvechnikovFCAR	CAR	78.0%	36	5.61	1.58	79.0%	97%▲8.5
8	Evan BouchardDEDM	EDM	78.0%	50	4.82	1.36	78.9%	100%
9	Sebastian AhoFCAR	CAR	77.7%	40	4.41	1.27	78.6%	99%▲0.9
10	Sam BennettFFLA	FLA	75.7%	40	3.33	1.07	77.5%	83%▲4
11	Nikolaj EhlersFCAR	CAR	75.4%	38	4.51	1.47	76.1%	93%▲7.9
12	Matthew TkachukFFLA	FLA	74.8%	42	3.98	1.34	75.9%	100%▲2.7
13	Quinn HughesDMIN	MIN	74.5%	28	3.59	1.23	74.4%	100%
14	Brady TkachukFFLA	FLA	73.2%	36	3.50	1.28	73.4%	100%▲2.2
15	Brandon MontourDSEA	SEA	71.8%	24	4.24	1.66	72.4%	83%▲10
16	Jackson BlakeFCAR	CAR	71.7%	41	4.43	1.74	71.3%	68%▲21
17	Connor McDavidFEDM	EDM	71.3%	45	5.10	2.05	72.1%	100%▲1.5
18	Luke HughesDNJD	NJD	71.1%	24	5.48	2.23	72.1%	84%▲40
19	Aleksander BarkovFFLA	FLA	69.7%	30	2.65	1.15	69.5%	97%▲7.2
20	Jack HughesFNJD	NJD	69.5%	26	4.46	1.96	69.4%	100%
21	Sam ReinhartFFLA	FLA	67.6%	45	3.12	1.49	65.9%	99%
22	Mike MathesonDMTL	MTL	66.3%	25	5.74	2.92	66.0%	85%▼7.5
23	Lars EllerFFLA	FLA	66.2%	27	2.16	1.10	67.6%	0.2%
24	Mattias EkholmDEDM	EDM	64.9%	42	3.07	1.66	65.6%	77%▲9.7
25	Denton MateychukDCBJ	CBJ	64.7%	27	3.62	1.98	63.4%	42%▲40
26	Seth JonesDFLA	FLA	63.9%	57	3.17	1.79	64.9%	80%▲32
27	Vladislav GavrikovDNYR	NYR	63.7%	64	3.38	1.92	64.4%	41%▼5.7
28	Oliver BjorkstrandFNYR	NYR	63.7%	40	3.18	1.81	63.8%	20%
29	Jordan StaalFCAR	CAR	63.4%	32	2.92	1.68	63.3%	20%▲13
30	Shayne GostisbehereDCAR	CAR	63.3%	42	3.92	2.28	63.1%	96%▲16
31	Morgan RiellyDTOR	TOR	62.9%	41	3.11	1.84	60.7%	76%▼4.7
32	Brock BoeserFVAN	VAN	62.5%	33	2.44	1.46	62.5%	63%▼5.5
33	Matthew SchaeferDNYI	NYI	61.8%	28	2.47	1.53	62.7%	100%
34	J.T. MillerFNYR	NYR	61.6%	49	4.75	2.97	63.9%	92%▲7.9
35	Rasmus DahlinDBUF	BUF	61.0%	26	2.98	1.90	61.8%	100%▲1
36	Kasperi KapanenFEDM	EDM	60.9%	37	4.55	2.92	59.5%	7.5%▲7.2
37	Alexis LafrenièreFNYR	NYR	59.9%	55	3.70	2.47	59.9%	82%▲13
38	Kirill MarchenkoFTOR	TOR	59.9%	38	4.18	2.80	60.6%	98%▲7
39	Sandis VilmanisFFLA	FLA	58.6%	24	3.43	2.42	60.1%	6.4%▲6.3
40	Jake WalmanDEDM	EDM	57.7%	29	3.03	2.22	58.1%	33%▲30
41	Mika ZibanejadFNYR	NYR	57.6%	59	3.87	2.85	57.6%	98%▲1.1
42	Gabe PerreaultFNYR	NYR	57.3%	43	2.56	1.91	56.7%	53%▲47
43	Auston MatthewsFTOR	TOR	56.3%	43	4.18	3.25	56.6%	99%
44	Logan StankovenFCAR	CAR	55.7%	40	3.72	2.95	55.5%	67%▲42
45	Marco RossiFVAN	VAN	55.5%	30	3.76	3.01	55.7%	58%▲12
46	Radko GudasDFLA	FLA	55.0%	24	2.15	1.76	52.6%	25%▲22
47	Bo HorvatFNYI	NYI	54.7%	23	2.97	2.46	54.4%	91%▲1.7
48	Ryan SheaDEDM	EDM	53.5%	46	2.97	2.57	53.6%	15%▲9.6
49	Sean DurziDNYR	NYR	53.3%	63	2.47	2.17	53.7%	37%▲35
50	Pavel DorofeyevFNYR	NYR	52.9%	47	3.96	3.53	53.9%	92%▲1.7
51	Connor CliftonDBOS	BOS	51.8%	23	1.75	1.62	52.6%	7.4%▲6.7
52	Owen PowerDBUF	BUF	51.0%	25	2.20	2.11	52.7%	53%▲29
53	Travis KonecnyFPHI	PHI	50.8%	32	3.12	3.02	49.9%	92%▲9.9
54	Jake McCabeDTOR	TOR	50.7%	32	2.01	1.95	49.9%	34%▼15
55	Eeli TolvanenFNYR	NYR	50.1%	40	2.62	2.61	55.3%	36%▼9.4
56	Adam FoxDNYR	NYR	49.9%	60	3.49	3.50	52.2%	99%▲6.5
57	Eetu LuostarinenFFLA	FLA	49.2%	30	4.46	4.61	49.1%	11%▲9.1
58	Easton CowanFTOR	TOR	48.8%	29	3.33	3.49	49.6%	50%▲47
59	Jordan MartinookFCAR	CAR	48.6%	27	1.71	1.81	49.0%	4.3%▲2.7
60	Zach WerenskiDCBJ	CBJ	47.8%	29	2.53	2.76	46.8%	100%
61	Braden SchneiderDNYR	NYR	47.7%	52	2.09	2.29	47.3%	19%▲17
62	Jaccob SlavinDCAR	CAR	47.5%	41	2.18	2.41	47.5%	15%▲3.8
63	Alberts SmitsDNYR	NYR	47.1%	42	2.34	2.63	46.2%	35%▲34
64	Zeev BuiumDVAN	VAN	47.0%	44	2.82	3.18	45.7%	74%▲54
65	Aaron EkbladDFLA	FLA	46.9%	42	2.89	3.26	47.6%	50%▲34
66	Marcus PetterssonDNYR	NYR	46.3%	67	2.27	2.63	50.7%	5.8%▲5.4
67	Luke SchennDVAN	VAN	46.3%	28	2.56	2.98	44.4%	7.3%▲6.9
68	Connor MurphyDEDM	EDM	46.1%	43	2.55	2.98	46.5%	5.9%▲5
69	K'Andre MillerDCAR	CAR	45.6%	47	2.09	2.49	46.2%	64%▲26
70	Colton SissonsFTOR	TOR	45.6%	26	2.07	2.47	45.7%	3.3%▲3.1
71	Jordan GreenwayFCHI	CHI	45.4%	28	1.59	1.91	45.6%	0.3%
72	Anton LundellFFLA	FLA	45.3%	40	3.67	4.42	44.9%	45%▲30
73	Lane HutsonDMTL	MTL	45.2%	24	1.93	2.34	45.3%	99%▲3.1
74	Nikita KucherovFTBL	TBL	45.2%	24	3.42	4.15	42.2%	100%
75	Max SassonFVAN	VAN	44.8%	30	3.48	4.29	45.0%	4.9%▲4.9
76	Chris TanevDTOR	TOR	44.4%	39	2.18	2.73	43.4%	6.0%▲5
77	Niko MikkolaDFLA	FLA	44.4%	44	1.90	2.38	42.4%	4.9%▲4.4
78	Matvei MichkovFPHI	PHI	44.3%	29	1.77	2.23	45.1%	86%▲23
79	Brandon DuhaimeFTOR	TOR	44.0%	24	1.53	1.95	43.1%	3.2%▲3
80	Joseph VelenoFNYR	NYR	43.5%	44	1.71	2.21	44.9%	3.3%▲3.1
81	Alex FormentonFEDM	EDM	43.1%	31	2.12	2.79	45.0%	9.6%▲9.6
82	Darren RaddyshDTOR	TOR	43.0%	44	3.07	4.08	42.5%	100%▲3.5
83	Gavin McKennaFTOR	TOR	42.3%	31	2.45	3.34	40.9%	94%▲11
84	Jalen ChatfieldDCAR	CAR	42.2%	37	2.40	3.28	41.2%	4.1%▲3.4
85	Jake DeBruskFVAN	VAN	41.9%	31	1.64	2.27	42.0%	49%▼20
86	Nick PaulFTOR	TOR	41.5%	31	2.32	3.27	41.4%	8.1%▲7.7
87	Filip HronekDVAN	VAN	41.5%	48	2.40	3.39	41.0%	91%▲14
88	Oliver Ekman-LarssonDTOR	TOR	41.3%	34	2.15	3.05	41.3%	43%▲32
89	Taylor HallFCAR	CAR	41.3%	29	2.08	2.95	41.2%	28%▲21
90	Brandon HagelFTBL	TBL	41.3%	24	2.92	4.15	38.2%	100%▲1.9
91	Sam RinzelDCHI	CHI	41.2%	36	2.16	3.09	40.0%	33%▲32
92	Brayden PointFTBL	TBL	41.0%	23	3.54	5.10	38.4%	95%▲7.7
93	Alex BumpFPHI	PHI	40.9%	23	2.04	2.94	41.0%	15%▲15
94	Artyom LevshunovDCHI	CHI	40.6%	39	1.86	2.72	39.9%	45%▲43
95	Linus KarlssonFVAN	VAN	39.8%	27	1.73	2.62	39.6%	11%▲9.5
96	Jake GuentzelFTBL	TBL	39.4%	24	2.51	3.86	36.5%	100%
97	Roman JosiDNSH	NSH	39.3%	25	2.02	3.12	37.5%	98%
98	Mathieu JosephFEDM	EDM	39.2%	30	1.56	2.42	41.5%	0.1%
99	John TavaresFTOR	TOR	39.1%	34	3.47	5.41	38.4%	96%▲9.3
100	Frank NazarFCHI	CHI	38.9%	35	2.50	3.92	38.1%	54%▲34

Minimum sample: 23 min (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 339 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Read it like xGF%: 50% is even. Compare it with the plain xGF% column to see whose numbers are inflated by flurries.

How reliable is it?

Shares the stability of on-ice xGF%. The flurry discount itself is mechanical (no fitted parameters), so it adds no noise.

How Sequence xG is calculated →

All NHL leaderboards →

Sequence xG leaderboard

How to read it

How reliable is it?

Related leaderboards