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Who to start · 2025-26

Elvis Merzlikins vs Jet Greaves

Elvis MerzlikinsElvis MerzlikinsMaple Leafs · GoalievsJet GreavesJet GreavesBlue Jackets · Goalie

In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Jet Greaves's .908.

Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Greaves +13.9.

This week Merzlikins has 1 game left (about 0.0 expected starts); Greaves has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup. We project Greaves for 1.5 ESPN points to Merzlikins's 0.0.

Jet Greaves has the better number in 10 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Merzlikins's biggest edges: Goals against 95.

Greaves's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +1.67, Goals saved above expected +13.9, Goals-against average 2.60.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, .885 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elvis Merzlikins

0.51

fantasy points per game

Jet Greaves

2.08

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jet Greaves has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMerzlikinsGreaves
Wins (+4)1.871.89
Goals against (-2)-6.33-5.16
Saves (+0.2)4.785.08
Shutouts (+3)0.100.11
OT losses (+1)0.100.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Elvis Merzlikins and Jet Greaves have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MerzlikinsGreaves

Goaltending

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elvis Merzlikins

3games (1 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

About 0.0 expected starts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT4% to start0.0 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Jet Greaves

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to GLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA90% to start1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to GLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Elvis Merzlikins or Jet Greaves?
In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Jet Greaves's .908. Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Greaves +13.9. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Elvis Merzlikins or Jet Greaves?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jet Greaves leads in 10 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →