Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elvis Merzlikins vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's .910.

Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Luukkonen +8.3.

This week Merzlikins has 1 game left; Luukkonen has 1 left.

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has the better number in 9 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Luukkonen's biggest edges: Goals-against average 2.52, Save % .910, Rebounds prevented /100 +0.23.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .773 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elvis Merzlikins

0.51

fantasy points per game

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

2.66

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMerzlikinsLuukkonen
Wins (+4)1.872.51
Goals against (-2)-6.33-4.86
Saves (+0.2)4.784.83
Shutouts (+3)0.100.09
OT losses (+1)0.100.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Merzlikins vs Luukkonen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MerzlikinsLuukkonen
3Team record in 6 meetings3

Games against each other

Games between Elvis Merzlikins and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
DateScoreMerzlikinsLuukkonen
2026-04-09CBJ 0–5 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV
2026-01-03CBJ 5–1 BUF0/0 SV30/34 SV
2025-10-28CBJ 4–3 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-02-23CBJ 1–2 BUF0/0 SV25/26 SV
2023-12-19CBJ 9–4 BUF0/0 SV11/16 SV
2022-12-07CBJ 4–9 BUF15/21 SV20/24 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MerzlikinsLuukkonen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elvis Merzlikins

3games (1 left)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

2games (1 left)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI

FAQ

Should I start Elvis Merzlikins or Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen?
In 2025-26, Elvis Merzlikins posted a .883 save percentage to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's .910. Against our expected-goals model, Merzlikins saved −7.7 goals and Luukkonen +8.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Elvis Merzlikins or Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen leads in 9 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Merzlikins and Luukkonen done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Merzlikins's team went 3–3.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →